Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17, 2026, driven by live tracking data from tools like XTracker confirming a final tally of 304 posts as of early April 17 EST, with the period now at 100% completion. This reflects his steady social media engagement pace of 43 posts per day—consistent with recent patterns amid viral discussions on Grok 4.3 beta capabilities, Neuralink advancements, and AI-driven universal income debates—without notable spikes or lulls over the past week. While overwhelming precursor counts cement the frontrunner, a realistic upset would require rare resolution disputes over post inclusions or uncounted replies, though traders see negligible risk given verified tallies and historical counting precedents.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया300-319 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,942,624 वॉल्यूम
$13,942,624 वॉल्यूम
<20
नहीं
20-39
नहीं
40-59
नहीं
60-79
नहीं
80-99
नहीं
100-119
नहीं
120-139
नहीं
140-159
नहीं
160-179
नहीं
180-199
नहीं
200-219
नहीं
220-239
नहीं
240-259
नहीं
260-279
नहीं
280-299
नहीं
300-319
हाँ
320-339
नहीं
340-359
नहीं
360-379
नहीं
380-399
नहीं
400-419
नहीं
420-439
नहीं
440-459
नहीं
460-479
नहीं
480-499
नहीं
500-519
नहीं
520-539
नहीं
540-559
नहीं
560-579
नहीं
580+
नहीं
300-319 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,942,624 वॉल्यूम
$13,942,624 वॉल्यूम
<20
नहीं
20-39
नहीं
40-59
नहीं
60-79
नहीं
80-99
नहीं
100-119
नहीं
120-139
नहीं
140-159
नहीं
160-179
नहीं
180-199
नहीं
200-219
नहीं
220-239
नहीं
240-259
नहीं
260-279
नहीं
280-299
नहीं
300-319
हाँ
320-339
नहीं
340-359
नहीं
360-379
नहीं
380-399
नहीं
400-419
नहीं
420-439
नहीं
440-459
नहीं
460-479
नहीं
480-499
नहीं
500-519
नहीं
520-539
नहीं
540-559
नहीं
560-579
नहीं
580+
नहीं
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17, 2026, driven by live tracking data from tools like XTracker confirming a final tally of 304 posts as of early April 17 EST, with the period now at 100% completion. This reflects his steady social media engagement pace of 43 posts per day—consistent with recent patterns amid viral discussions on Grok 4.3 beta capabilities, Neuralink advancements, and AI-driven universal income debates—without notable spikes or lulls over the past week. While overwhelming precursor counts cement the frontrunner, a realistic upset would require rare resolution disputes over post inclusions or uncounted replies, though traders see negligible risk given verified tallies and historical counting precedents.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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