Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have sharply raised euro-area energy prices, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 2.6 percent while holding the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent in both its March and April meetings. Staff projections also show subdued growth at 0.9 percent for the year. Reuters economist surveys and futures markets now price at least one modest hike by year-end and minimal scope for easing, with the Governing Council maintaining a data-dependent stance focused on inflation risks. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward no rate reduction before December 31, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$28,063 वॉल्यूम
$28,063 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$28,063 वॉल्यूम
$28,063 वॉल्यूम
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have sharply raised euro-area energy prices, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 2.6 percent while holding the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent in both its March and April meetings. Staff projections also show subdued growth at 0.9 percent for the year. Reuters economist surveys and futures markets now price at least one modest hike by year-end and minimal scope for easing, with the Governing Council maintaining a data-dependent stance focused on inflation risks. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward no rate reduction before December 31, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न