The European Central Bank’s deposit facility rate stands at 2.00% following its April 30, 2026 decision to hold policy steady amid data-dependent guidance. Elevated inflation risks from the Iran conflict have shifted forecasts toward potential hikes or an extended pause through year-end, with Bloomberg surveys and Reuters polls showing economists expecting quarter-point increases in June and September to counter energy-driven price pressures. Market pricing reflects this outlook, with limited scope for easing as growth remains subdued yet inflation targets stay in focus. Scheduled meetings through December offer no near-term signals favoring cuts, reinforcing trader consensus against any 2026 reduction in the key rate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$28,055 वॉल्यूम
$28,055 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$28,055 वॉल्यूम
$28,055 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank’s deposit facility rate stands at 2.00% following its April 30, 2026 decision to hold policy steady amid data-dependent guidance. Elevated inflation risks from the Iran conflict have shifted forecasts toward potential hikes or an extended pause through year-end, with Bloomberg surveys and Reuters polls showing economists expecting quarter-point increases in June and September to counter energy-driven price pressures. Market pricing reflects this outlook, with limited scope for easing as growth remains subdued yet inflation targets stay in focus. Scheduled meetings through December offer no near-term signals favoring cuts, reinforcing trader consensus against any 2026 reduction in the key rate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,055समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank’s deposit facility rate stands at 2.00% following its April 30, 2026 decision to hold policy steady amid data-dependent guidance. Elevated inflation risks from the Iran conflict have shifted forecasts toward potential hikes or an extended pause through year-end, with Bloomberg surveys and Reuters polls showing economists expecting quarter-point increases in June and September to counter energy-driven price pressures. Market pricing reflects this outlook, with limited scope for easing as growth remains subdued yet inflation targets stay in focus. Scheduled meetings through December offer no near-term signals favoring cuts, reinforcing trader consensus against any 2026 reduction in the key rate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$28,055समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank’s deposit facility rate stands at 2.00% following its April 30, 2026 decision to hold policy steady amid data-dependent guidance. Elevated inflation risks from the Iran conflict have shifted forecasts toward potential hikes or an extended pause through year-end, with Bloomberg surveys and Reuters polls showing economists expecting quarter-point increases in June and September to counter energy-driven price pressures. Market pricing reflects this outlook, with limited scope for easing as growth remains subdued yet inflation targets stay in focus. Scheduled meetings through December offer no near-term signals favoring cuts, reinforcing trader consensus against any 2026 reduction in the key rate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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