Recent developments in eurozone inflation dynamics, driven by elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict and associated oil supply disruptions, have strengthened trader expectations for ECB policy tightening ahead of the September 2026 meeting. The June 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 2.25% deposit rate, followed by July comments from President Lagarde highlighting upside risks to the inflation outlook, reinforced this positioning. Staff projections now show headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026, with energy costs feeding into broader price pressures and downward revisions to growth. These factors have aligned market pricing with a further modest increase, while limited data releases or countervailing growth signals have kept alternatives at low implied probabilities. The September decision remains data-dependent amid ongoing uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि 86%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 15%
50+ बीपीएस बढ़ोतरी 1.5%
25 बीपीएस कटौती <1%
$189,496 वॉल्यूम
$189,496 वॉल्यूम
10 सित, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
<1%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
15%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि
86%
50+ बीपीएस बढ़ोतरी
2%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि 86%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 15%
50+ बीपीएस बढ़ोतरी 1.5%
25 बीपीएस कटौती <1%
$189,496 वॉल्यूम
$189,496 वॉल्यूम
10 सित, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
$13,929 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
$25,319 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$55,694 वॉल्यूम
15%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि
$66,335 वॉल्यूम
86%
50+ बीपीएस बढ़ोतरी
$28,218 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent developments in eurozone inflation dynamics, driven by elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict and associated oil supply disruptions, have strengthened trader expectations for ECB policy tightening ahead of the September 2026 meeting. The June 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 2.25% deposit rate, followed by July comments from President Lagarde highlighting upside risks to the inflation outlook, reinforced this positioning. Staff projections now show headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026, with energy costs feeding into broader price pressures and downward revisions to growth. These factors have aligned market pricing with a further modest increase, while limited data releases or countervailing growth signals have kept alternatives at low implied probabilities. The September decision remains data-dependent amid ongoing uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 17, 2026, 6:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$189,496समाप्ति तिथि
10 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 6:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent developments in eurozone inflation dynamics, driven by elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict and associated oil supply disruptions, have strengthened trader expectations for ECB policy tightening ahead of the September 2026 meeting. The June 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 2.25% deposit rate, followed by July comments from President Lagarde highlighting upside risks to the inflation outlook, reinforced this positioning. Staff projections now show headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026, with energy costs feeding into broader price pressures and downward revisions to growth. These factors have aligned market pricing with a further modest increase, while limited data releases or countervailing growth signals have kept alternatives at low implied probabilities. The September decision remains data-dependent amid ongoing uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$189,496समाप्ति तिथि
10 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 6:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in eurozone inflation dynamics, driven by elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict and associated oil supply disruptions, have strengthened trader expectations for ECB policy tightening ahead of the September 2026 meeting. The June 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 2.25% deposit rate, followed by July comments from President Lagarde highlighting upside risks to the inflation outlook, reinforced this positioning. Staff projections now show headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026, with energy costs feeding into broader price pressures and downward revisions to growth. These factors have aligned market pricing with a further modest increase, while limited data releases or countervailing growth signals have kept alternatives at low implied probabilities. The September decision remains data-dependent amid ongoing uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न