Recent energy price surges from Middle East tensions pushed April euro-area inflation to 3%, prompting the ECB to hold the deposit facility rate at 2.00% on April 30 while explicitly debating a hike and highlighting upside inflation risks. Governing Council members including Bundesbank President Nagel have since signaled that a 25-basis-point increase to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting would likely be required absent sharp improvement in the inflation outlook, shifting economist forecasts and anchoring trader consensus around tighter policy to contain second-round effects. This data-driven hawkish tilt supports the 86.5% market-implied probability for the 25 bp rise, with the 13.3% chance of no change reflecting residual uncertainty over growth impacts and any near-term energy price relief ahead of updated projections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase 87%
No change 13.3%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$354,840 वॉल्यूम
$354,840 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
13%
25 bps Increase
87%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps Increase 87%
No change 13.3%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$354,840 वॉल्यूम
$354,840 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$60,661 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 bps decrease
$65,114 वॉल्यूम
<1%
No change
$75,702 वॉल्यूम
13%
25 bps Increase
$87,488 वॉल्यूम
87%
50+ bps increase
$65,874 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Recent energy price surges from Middle East tensions pushed April euro-area inflation to 3%, prompting the ECB to hold the deposit facility rate at 2.00% on April 30 while explicitly debating a hike and highlighting upside inflation risks. Governing Council members including Bundesbank President Nagel have since signaled that a 25-basis-point increase to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting would likely be required absent sharp improvement in the inflation outlook, shifting economist forecasts and anchoring trader consensus around tighter policy to contain second-round effects. This data-driven hawkish tilt supports the 86.5% market-implied probability for the 25 bp rise, with the 13.3% chance of no change reflecting residual uncertainty over growth impacts and any near-term energy price relief ahead of updated projections.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$354,840समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Recent energy price surges from Middle East tensions pushed April euro-area inflation to 3%, prompting the ECB to hold the deposit facility rate at 2.00% on April 30 while explicitly debating a hike and highlighting upside inflation risks. Governing Council members including Bundesbank President Nagel have since signaled that a 25-basis-point increase to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting would likely be required absent sharp improvement in the inflation outlook, shifting economist forecasts and anchoring trader consensus around tighter policy to contain second-round effects. This data-driven hawkish tilt supports the 86.5% market-implied probability for the 25 bp rise, with the 13.3% chance of no change reflecting residual uncertainty over growth impacts and any near-term energy price relief ahead of updated projections.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$354,840समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price surges from Middle East tensions pushed April euro-area inflation to 3%, prompting the ECB to hold the deposit facility rate at 2.00% on April 30 while explicitly debating a hike and highlighting upside inflation risks. Governing Council members including Bundesbank President Nagel have since signaled that a 25-basis-point increase to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting would likely be required absent sharp improvement in the inflation outlook, shifting economist forecasts and anchoring trader consensus around tighter policy to contain second-round effects. This data-driven hawkish tilt supports the 86.5% market-implied probability for the 25 bp rise, with the 13.3% chance of no change reflecting residual uncertainty over growth impacts and any near-term energy price relief ahead of updated projections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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