Databricks' elevated 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents a "terrible" window amid a crowded calendar featuring SpaceX and potential Anthropic or OpenAI listings, favoring continued private capital raises instead. This sentiment aligns with the July 2026 Coatue-led strategic round that valued the company at $188 billion, up from the prior $134 billion Series L close, supported by annualized recurring revenue reaching $6.9 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth. Trader consensus on the lower-to-mid market-cap brackets around 40-46% incorporates these private valuations and sustained AI-driven expansion while pricing in typical IPO discounts and execution risks relative to historical precedents for high-growth software issuers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$150B-$200B 74%
$450B+ 72%
$400B-$450B 67%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक आईपीओ नहीं 64%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2027
<$150B
63%
$150B-$200B
74%
$200B-$250B
34%
$250B-$300B
32%
$300B-$350B
38%
$350B-$400B
35%
$400B-$450B
67%
$450B+
72%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक आईपीओ नहीं
64%
$150B-$200B 74%
$450B+ 72%
$400B-$450B 67%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक आईपीओ नहीं 64%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2027
<$150B
$0 वॉल्यूम
63%
$150B-$200B
$0 वॉल्यूम
74%
$200B-$250B
$18 वॉल्यूम
34%
$250B-$300B
$18 वॉल्यूम
32%
$300B-$350B
$18 वॉल्यूम
38%
$350B-$400B
$18 वॉल्यूम
35%
$400B-$450B
$0 वॉल्यूम
67%
$450B+
$0 वॉल्यूम
72%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक आईपीओ नहीं
$172 वॉल्यूम
64%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' elevated 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents a "terrible" window amid a crowded calendar featuring SpaceX and potential Anthropic or OpenAI listings, favoring continued private capital raises instead. This sentiment aligns with the July 2026 Coatue-led strategic round that valued the company at $188 billion, up from the prior $134 billion Series L close, supported by annualized recurring revenue reaching $6.9 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth. Trader consensus on the lower-to-mid market-cap brackets around 40-46% incorporates these private valuations and sustained AI-driven expansion while pricing in typical IPO discounts and execution risks relative to historical precedents for high-growth software issuers.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$244समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' elevated 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents a "terrible" window amid a crowded calendar featuring SpaceX and potential Anthropic or OpenAI listings, favoring continued private capital raises instead. This sentiment aligns with the July 2026 Coatue-led strategic round that valued the company at $188 billion, up from the prior $134 billion Series L close, supported by annualized recurring revenue reaching $6.9 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth. Trader consensus on the lower-to-mid market-cap brackets around 40-46% incorporates these private valuations and sustained AI-driven expansion while pricing in typical IPO discounts and execution risks relative to historical precedents for high-growth software issuers.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$244समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' elevated 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents a "terrible" window amid a crowded calendar featuring SpaceX and potential Anthropic or OpenAI listings, favoring continued private capital raises instead. This sentiment aligns with the July 2026 Coatue-led strategic round that valued the company at $188 billion, up from the prior $134 billion Series L close, supported by annualized recurring revenue reaching $6.9 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth. Trader consensus on the lower-to-mid market-cap brackets around 40-46% incorporates these private valuations and sustained AI-driven expansion while pricing in typical IPO discounts and execution risks relative to historical precedents for high-growth software issuers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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