Traders price the July 2026 core CPI YoY release—due today at 8:30 a.m. ET—with 2.4% and 2.5% as the closest outcomes, reflecting uncertainty around the pace of disinflation after June’s softer-than-expected 2.6% print. Consensus forecasts center on a 2.5% annual rate alongside a modest 0.2% monthly gain, supported by Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.52% and easing energy pressures that contributed to the prior month’s downside surprise versus 2.8–2.9% expectations. Key swing factors include shelter costs, goods deflation trends, and any tariff-related pass-through effects, with markets viewing the outcome as finely balanced between further cooling toward the Fed’s 2% target and sticky services inflation. Recent labor-market softening and Treasury yield movements have reinforced bets on the lower side of consensus while leaving room for an upside revision if monthly components exceed projections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2.4% 43%
2.5% 35%
2.3% 16.9%
2.6% 5.4%
$102,104 वॉल्यूम
$102,104 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
≤2.2%
5%
2.3%
17%
2.4%
43%
2.5%
35%
2.6%
5%
2.7%
1%
2.8%
1%
2.9%
<1%
3.0%
<1%
≥3.1%
<1%
2.4% 43%
2.5% 35%
2.3% 16.9%
2.6% 5.4%
$102,104 वॉल्यूम
$102,104 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
≤2.2%
$5,277 वॉल्यूम
5%
2.3%
$4,996 वॉल्यूम
17%
2.4%
$40,988 वॉल्यूम
43%
2.5%
$15,403 वॉल्यूम
35%
2.6%
$13,747 वॉल्यूम
5%
2.7%
$10,479 वॉल्यूम
1%
2.8%
$1,809 वॉल्यूम
1%
2.9%
$7,384 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.0%
$798 वॉल्यूम
<1%
≥3.1%
$1,224 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders price the July 2026 core CPI YoY release—due today at 8:30 a.m. ET—with 2.4% and 2.5% as the closest outcomes, reflecting uncertainty around the pace of disinflation after June’s softer-than-expected 2.6% print. Consensus forecasts center on a 2.5% annual rate alongside a modest 0.2% monthly gain, supported by Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.52% and easing energy pressures that contributed to the prior month’s downside surprise versus 2.8–2.9% expectations. Key swing factors include shelter costs, goods deflation trends, and any tariff-related pass-through effects, with markets viewing the outcome as finely balanced between further cooling toward the Fed’s 2% target and sticky services inflation. Recent labor-market softening and Treasury yield movements have reinforced bets on the lower side of consensus while leaving room for an upside revision if monthly components exceed projections.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 14, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$102,104समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 14, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders price the July 2026 core CPI YoY release—due today at 8:30 a.m. ET—with 2.4% and 2.5% as the closest outcomes, reflecting uncertainty around the pace of disinflation after June’s softer-than-expected 2.6% print. Consensus forecasts center on a 2.5% annual rate alongside a modest 0.2% monthly gain, supported by Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.52% and easing energy pressures that contributed to the prior month’s downside surprise versus 2.8–2.9% expectations. Key swing factors include shelter costs, goods deflation trends, and any tariff-related pass-through effects, with markets viewing the outcome as finely balanced between further cooling toward the Fed’s 2% target and sticky services inflation. Recent labor-market softening and Treasury yield movements have reinforced bets on the lower side of consensus while leaving room for an upside revision if monthly components exceed projections.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$102,104समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 14, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price the July 2026 core CPI YoY release—due today at 8:30 a.m. ET—with 2.4% and 2.5% as the closest outcomes, reflecting uncertainty around the pace of disinflation after June’s softer-than-expected 2.6% print. Consensus forecasts center on a 2.5% annual rate alongside a modest 0.2% monthly gain, supported by Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.52% and easing energy pressures that contributed to the prior month’s downside surprise versus 2.8–2.9% expectations. Key swing factors include shelter costs, goods deflation trends, and any tariff-related pass-through effects, with markets viewing the outcome as finely balanced between further cooling toward the Fed’s 2% target and sticky services inflation. Recent labor-market softening and Treasury yield movements have reinforced bets on the lower side of consensus while leaving room for an upside revision if monthly components exceed projections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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