Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) holds a commanding position in California's 29th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+20 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Rivas dominates fundraising with $434,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing challenger Angélica Dueñas (D) and sole Republican Rudy Melendez, who has run unsuccessfully before in a district where Democrats won 70% in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting left the San Fernando Valley seat unchanged as a Democratic stronghold. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise advancing Melendez paired with a national GOP wave, scandal, or depressed Democratic turnout, though historical precedents favor the incumbent decisively.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -29 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -29 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$14,886 वॉल्यूम
$14,886 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$14,886 वॉल्यूम
$14,886 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$9,801 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$5,085 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) holds a commanding position in California's 29th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+20 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Rivas dominates fundraising with $434,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing challenger Angélica Dueñas (D) and sole Republican Rudy Melendez, who has run unsuccessfully before in a district where Democrats won 70% in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting left the San Fernando Valley seat unchanged as a Democratic stronghold. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise advancing Melendez paired with a national GOP wave, scandal, or depressed Democratic turnout, though historical precedents favor the incumbent decisively.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,886समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) holds a commanding position in California's 29th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+20 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Rivas dominates fundraising with $434,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing challenger Angélica Dueñas (D) and sole Republican Rudy Melendez, who has run unsuccessfully before in a district where Democrats won 70% in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting left the San Fernando Valley seat unchanged as a Democratic stronghold. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise advancing Melendez paired with a national GOP wave, scandal, or depressed Democratic turnout, though historical precedents favor the incumbent decisively.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,886समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) holds a commanding position in California's 29th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+20 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Rivas dominates fundraising with $434,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing challenger Angélica Dueñas (D) and sole Republican Rudy Melendez, who has run unsuccessfully before in a district where Democrats won 70% in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting left the San Fernando Valley seat unchanged as a Democratic stronghold. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise advancing Melendez paired with a national GOP wave, scandal, or depressed Democratic turnout, though historical precedents favor the incumbent decisively.
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