The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+15 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Zoe Lofgren, first elected in 1994 and seeking another term, benefits from name recognition, fundraising dominance, and top-two primary positioning ahead of the June 2 contest against fellow Democrat Luis Acevedo-Arreguin, Republican Shane Lewis, and independent Chris Demers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. A late primary surprise, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen general-election scandal could theoretically shift dynamics, though structural barriers and historical patterns make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$35,239 वॉल्यूम
$35,239 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$35,239 वॉल्यूम
$35,239 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$16,690 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$18,548 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+15 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Zoe Lofgren, first elected in 1994 and seeking another term, benefits from name recognition, fundraising dominance, and top-two primary positioning ahead of the June 2 contest against fellow Democrat Luis Acevedo-Arreguin, Republican Shane Lewis, and independent Chris Demers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. A late primary surprise, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen general-election scandal could theoretically shift dynamics, though structural barriers and historical patterns make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,239समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+15 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Zoe Lofgren, first elected in 1994 and seeking another term, benefits from name recognition, fundraising dominance, and top-two primary positioning ahead of the June 2 contest against fellow Democrat Luis Acevedo-Arreguin, Republican Shane Lewis, and independent Chris Demers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. A late primary surprise, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen general-election scandal could theoretically shift dynamics, though structural barriers and historical patterns make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$35,239समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+15 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Zoe Lofgren, first elected in 1994 and seeking another term, benefits from name recognition, fundraising dominance, and top-two primary positioning ahead of the June 2 contest against fellow Democrat Luis Acevedo-Arreguin, Republican Shane Lewis, and independent Chris Demers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. A late primary surprise, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen general-election scandal could theoretically shift dynamics, though structural barriers and historical patterns make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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