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$1,431 वॉल्यूम

2 जून, 2026
Polymarket

$1,431 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

Sam Liccardo

$225 वॉल्यूम

99%

Jotham Stein

$270 वॉल्यूम

2%

Kevin Johnson

$836 वॉल्यूम

33%

Peter Sundin Soulé

$100 वॉल्यूम

50%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent, secured roughly 75% of the vote in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 16th Congressional District, advancing comfortably alongside Republican Peter Soule, who edged Kevin Johnson for the second spot with just over 10%.** The solidly Democratic district, redrawn under Proposition 50, featured limited competition and low Republican vote-splitting, consistent with pre-primary assessments rating the seat as safe for Democrats in November. With results largely certified shortly after Election Day, trader consensus has aligned with the confirmed outcome, though any lingering certification details or recounts could still influence final market resolution before the general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$1,431
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent, secured roughly 75% of the vote in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 16th Congressional District, advancing comfortably alongside Republican Peter Soule, who edged Kevin Johnson for the second spot with just over 10%.** The solidly Democratic district, redrawn under Proposition 50, featured limited competition and low Republican vote-splitting, consistent with pre-primary assessments rating the seat as safe for Democrats in November. With results largely certified shortly after Election Day, trader consensus has aligned with the confirmed outcome, though any lingering certification details or recounts could still influence final market resolution before the general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$1,431
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"CA-16 Primary Winners" Polymarket पर 4 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, Sam Liccardo 99% (99¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद Peter Sundin Soulé 50% पर है।

"CA-16 Primary Winners" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, May 21, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"CA-16 Primary Winners" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 4 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"CA-16 Primary Winners" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "Sam Liccardo" 99% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "Peter Sundin Soulé" 50% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"CA-16 Primary Winners" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।