Redistricting under California Proposition 50 shifted district boundaries, prompting former Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley to switch to no party preference and seek reelection in the newly configured 6th District. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features a crowded Democratic field including Richard Pan, Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero, alongside Republican Michael Stansfield. Early vote counts show Kiley ahead, with Stansfield and Pan competing closely for the second spot as Democratic support fragments. Trader consensus reflects Kiley's established name recognition and the structural challenges of vote splitting in a nonpartisan primary system, with the general election scheduled for November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-06 Primary Winners
CA-06 Primary Winners
$5,784 वॉल्यूम
2 जून, 2026
Kevin Kiley
98%
Richard Pan
89%
Michael Stansfield
10%
Thien Ho
3%
Tyler Vandenberg
3%
Martha Guerrero
1%
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
1%
$5,784 वॉल्यूम
Kevin Kiley
$622 वॉल्यूम
98%
Richard Pan
$271 वॉल्यूम
89%
Michael Stansfield
$1,258 वॉल्यूम
10%
Thien Ho
$1,314 वॉल्यूम
3%
Tyler Vandenberg
$692 वॉल्यूम
3%
Martha Guerrero
$614 वॉल्यूम
1%
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
$1,014 वॉल्यूम
1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting under California Proposition 50 shifted district boundaries, prompting former Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley to switch to no party preference and seek reelection in the newly configured 6th District. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features a crowded Democratic field including Richard Pan, Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero, alongside Republican Michael Stansfield. Early vote counts show Kiley ahead, with Stansfield and Pan competing closely for the second spot as Democratic support fragments. Trader consensus reflects Kiley's established name recognition and the structural challenges of vote splitting in a nonpartisan primary system, with the general election scheduled for November.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,784समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting under California Proposition 50 shifted district boundaries, prompting former Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley to switch to no party preference and seek reelection in the newly configured 6th District. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features a crowded Democratic field including Richard Pan, Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero, alongside Republican Michael Stansfield. Early vote counts show Kiley ahead, with Stansfield and Pan competing closely for the second spot as Democratic support fragments. Trader consensus reflects Kiley's established name recognition and the structural challenges of vote splitting in a nonpartisan primary system, with the general election scheduled for November.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$5,784समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Redistricting under California Proposition 50 shifted district boundaries, prompting former Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley to switch to no party preference and seek reelection in the newly configured 6th District. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features a crowded Democratic field including Richard Pan, Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero, alongside Republican Michael Stansfield. Early vote counts show Kiley ahead, with Stansfield and Pan competing closely for the second spot as Democratic support fragments. Trader consensus reflects Kiley's established name recognition and the structural challenges of vote splitting in a nonpartisan primary system, with the general election scheduled for November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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