Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-01's boundaries to incorporate additional Democratic-leaning areas, producing an estimated D+12 partisan lean for the November 2026 general election and creating an open seat following the January 2026 death of longtime Republican incumbent Doug LaMalfa. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural change, along with the June 2 primary featuring prominent Democratic candidates Mike McGuire and Audrey Denney against Republican James Gallagher. The closely aligned special election on current boundaries remains secondary to the new map's impact on the full term beginning in 2027. Late developments such as unexpected primary outcomes, turnout shifts, or national political events could still alter the trajectory before the November ballot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$23,554 वॉल्यूम
$23,554 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
5%
$23,554 वॉल्यूम
$23,554 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$15,638 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$7,916 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-01's boundaries to incorporate additional Democratic-leaning areas, producing an estimated D+12 partisan lean for the November 2026 general election and creating an open seat following the January 2026 death of longtime Republican incumbent Doug LaMalfa. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural change, along with the June 2 primary featuring prominent Democratic candidates Mike McGuire and Audrey Denney against Republican James Gallagher. The closely aligned special election on current boundaries remains secondary to the new map's impact on the full term beginning in 2027. Late developments such as unexpected primary outcomes, turnout shifts, or national political events could still alter the trajectory before the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,554समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-01's boundaries to incorporate additional Democratic-leaning areas, producing an estimated D+12 partisan lean for the November 2026 general election and creating an open seat following the January 2026 death of longtime Republican incumbent Doug LaMalfa. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural change, along with the June 2 primary featuring prominent Democratic candidates Mike McGuire and Audrey Denney against Republican James Gallagher. The closely aligned special election on current boundaries remains secondary to the new map's impact on the full term beginning in 2027. Late developments such as unexpected primary outcomes, turnout shifts, or national political events could still alter the trajectory before the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$23,554समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-01's boundaries to incorporate additional Democratic-leaning areas, producing an estimated D+12 partisan lean for the November 2026 general election and creating an open seat following the January 2026 death of longtime Republican incumbent Doug LaMalfa. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural change, along with the June 2 primary featuring prominent Democratic candidates Mike McGuire and Audrey Denney against Republican James Gallagher. The closely aligned special election on current boundaries remains secondary to the new map's impact on the full term beginning in 2027. Late developments such as unexpected primary outcomes, turnout shifts, or national political events could still alter the trajectory before the November ballot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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