Lula maintains a commanding lead in Sergipe first-round presidential voting, with recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls showing him at 53-60% support against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 19-23% and single-digit or lower shares for other registered candidates. High state-level approval of the incumbent administration, around 60-64%, combined with the Workers’ Party’s longstanding regional base in the Northeast, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% implied probability. The Tribunal Superior Eleitoral’s recent approval of Lula’s candidacy alongside limited opposition momentum further reinforces this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes in a multi-candidate field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालूला 95.5%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 2.6%
क्लारियाना बाराओ 1.4%
लेखक औगस्तो क्यूरी <1%
$15,448 वॉल्यूम
$15,448 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
लूला
96%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
3%
क्लारियाना बाराओ
1%
लेखक औगस्तो क्यूरी
<1%
हर्ट्ज़ डायस
<1%
रेनान सैंटोस
<1%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो
<1%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा
<1%
वेटेरिनेरियो विल्सन ग्रासी
<1%
ज़ेमा
<1%
एडमिलसन कोस्टा
<1%
पाब्लो मार्सल
<1%
समारा
<1%
लूला 95.5%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 2.6%
क्लारियाना बाराओ 1.4%
लेखक औगस्तो क्यूरी <1%
$15,448 वॉल्यूम
$15,448 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
लूला
$8,556 वॉल्यूम
96%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
$695 वॉल्यूम
3%
क्लारियाना बाराओ
$1,119 वॉल्यूम
1%
लेखक औगस्तो क्यूरी
$506 वॉल्यूम
<1%
हर्ट्ज़ डायस
$528 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रेनान सैंटोस
$506 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रोनाल्डो काइयाडो
$528 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा
$534 वॉल्यूम
<1%
वेटेरिनेरियो विल्सन ग्रासी
$514 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ज़ेमा
$447 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एडमिलसन कोस्टा
$522 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पाब्लो मार्सल
$522 वॉल्यूम
<1%
समारा
$469 वॉल्यूम
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Sergipe first-round presidential voting, with recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls showing him at 53-60% support against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 19-23% and single-digit or lower shares for other registered candidates. High state-level approval of the incumbent administration, around 60-64%, combined with the Workers’ Party’s longstanding regional base in the Northeast, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% implied probability. The Tribunal Superior Eleitoral’s recent approval of Lula’s candidacy alongside limited opposition momentum further reinforces this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes in a multi-candidate field.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,448समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Sergipe first-round presidential voting, with recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls showing him at 53-60% support against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 19-23% and single-digit or lower shares for other registered candidates. High state-level approval of the incumbent administration, around 60-64%, combined with the Workers’ Party’s longstanding regional base in the Northeast, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% implied probability. The Tribunal Superior Eleitoral’s recent approval of Lula’s candidacy alongside limited opposition momentum further reinforces this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes in a multi-candidate field.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
वॉल्यूम
$15,448समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Sergipe first-round presidential voting, with recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls showing him at 53-60% support against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 19-23% and single-digit or lower shares for other registered candidates. High state-level approval of the incumbent administration, around 60-64%, combined with the Workers’ Party’s longstanding regional base in the Northeast, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% implied probability. The Tribunal Superior Eleitoral’s recent approval of Lula’s candidacy alongside limited opposition momentum further reinforces this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes in a multi-candidate field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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