Banxico’s current 6.50% policy rate and forward guidance signal an extended pause in easing, anchoring the 91.5% market-implied odds of no change at the November 2026 meeting. Headline inflation has eased to 3.26% in August from higher mid-year levels while core remains elevated near 3.88%, with risks skewed upward from persistent services pressures, potential trade disruptions, geopolitical factors, and peso volatility. Private-sector surveys and recent unanimous Banxico decisions confirm expectations that the benchmark will hold at 6.50% through year-end amid gradual disinflation projected to reach the 3% target only in late 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the September 24 meeting and incoming CPI prints that could shift the rate path if inflation undershoots or growth weakens materially beyond current forecasts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 92%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती 5.3%
25 बेसिक प्वाइंट की वृद्धि 2.4%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की बढ़ोतरी <1%
$14,044 वॉल्यूम
$14,044 वॉल्यूम
5 नव, 2026
50+ बीपीएस की कमी
<1%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती
5%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
92%
25 बेसिक प्वाइंट की वृद्धि
2%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की बढ़ोतरी
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 92%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती 5.3%
25 बेसिक प्वाइंट की वृद्धि 2.4%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की बढ़ोतरी <1%
$14,044 वॉल्यूम
$14,044 वॉल्यूम
5 नव, 2026
50+ बीपीएस की कमी
$545 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती
$836 वॉल्यूम
5%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$11,782 वॉल्यूम
92%
25 बेसिक प्वाइंट की वृद्धि
$535 वॉल्यूम
2%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की बढ़ोतरी
$346 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Banxico’s current 6.50% policy rate and forward guidance signal an extended pause in easing, anchoring the 91.5% market-implied odds of no change at the November 2026 meeting. Headline inflation has eased to 3.26% in August from higher mid-year levels while core remains elevated near 3.88%, with risks skewed upward from persistent services pressures, potential trade disruptions, geopolitical factors, and peso volatility. Private-sector surveys and recent unanimous Banxico decisions confirm expectations that the benchmark will hold at 6.50% through year-end amid gradual disinflation projected to reach the 3% target only in late 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the September 24 meeting and incoming CPI prints that could shift the rate path if inflation undershoots or growth weakens materially beyond current forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,044समाप्ति तिथि
5 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 3:16 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Banxico’s current 6.50% policy rate and forward guidance signal an extended pause in easing, anchoring the 91.5% market-implied odds of no change at the November 2026 meeting. Headline inflation has eased to 3.26% in August from higher mid-year levels while core remains elevated near 3.88%, with risks skewed upward from persistent services pressures, potential trade disruptions, geopolitical factors, and peso volatility. Private-sector surveys and recent unanimous Banxico decisions confirm expectations that the benchmark will hold at 6.50% through year-end amid gradual disinflation projected to reach the 3% target only in late 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the September 24 meeting and incoming CPI prints that could shift the rate path if inflation undershoots or growth weakens materially beyond current forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$14,044समाप्ति तिथि
5 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 3:16 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Banxico’s current 6.50% policy rate and forward guidance signal an extended pause in easing, anchoring the 91.5% market-implied odds of no change at the November 2026 meeting. Headline inflation has eased to 3.26% in August from higher mid-year levels while core remains elevated near 3.88%, with risks skewed upward from persistent services pressures, potential trade disruptions, geopolitical factors, and peso volatility. Private-sector surveys and recent unanimous Banxico decisions confirm expectations that the benchmark will hold at 6.50% through year-end amid gradual disinflation projected to reach the 3% target only in late 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the September 24 meeting and incoming CPI prints that could shift the rate path if inflation undershoots or growth weakens materially beyond current forecasts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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