Recent data from maritime intelligence firms indicate that average daily transits through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait hovered in the mid-20s during late August 2026, aligning with the market's leading 25-29 outcome. Persistent Houthi-imposed restrictions on Saudi-linked vessels, including targeted attacks on tankers and a naval blockade, have suppressed overall volumes well below historical baselines of around 60 vessels per day. Non-Saudi traffic has shown modest stability or slight week-over-week gains in some segments, yet aggregate flows remain constrained by elevated war-risk premiums, selective AIS dark transits, and rerouting incentives. The 7-day moving average near 26 on August 30 underscores the trader consensus, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the range absent major de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअगस्त के अंत में बाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य से गुजरने वाले जहाजों का औसत #?
अगस्त के अंत में बाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य से गुजरने वाले जहाजों का औसत #?
25-29 69%
<25 26.3%
35-39 1.5%
30-34 <1%
$38,352 वॉल्यूम
$38,352 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<25
26%
25-29
69%
30-34
<1%
35-39
2%
40+
<1%
25-29 69%
<25 26.3%
35-39 1.5%
30-34 <1%
$38,352 वॉल्यूम
$38,352 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<25
$7,755 वॉल्यूम
26%
25-29
$9,837 वॉल्यूम
69%
30-34
$8,878 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35-39
$5,385 वॉल्यूम
2%
40+
$6,497 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.Recent data from maritime intelligence firms indicate that average daily transits through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait hovered in the mid-20s during late August 2026, aligning with the market's leading 25-29 outcome. Persistent Houthi-imposed restrictions on Saudi-linked vessels, including targeted attacks on tankers and a naval blockade, have suppressed overall volumes well below historical baselines of around 60 vessels per day. Non-Saudi traffic has shown modest stability or slight week-over-week gains in some segments, yet aggregate flows remain constrained by elevated war-risk premiums, selective AIS dark transits, and rerouting incentives. The 7-day moving average near 26 on August 30 underscores the trader consensus, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the range absent major de-escalation.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$38,352समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 2:13 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
IMF PortWatchरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.Recent data from maritime intelligence firms indicate that average daily transits through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait hovered in the mid-20s during late August 2026, aligning with the market's leading 25-29 outcome. Persistent Houthi-imposed restrictions on Saudi-linked vessels, including targeted attacks on tankers and a naval blockade, have suppressed overall volumes well below historical baselines of around 60 vessels per day. Non-Saudi traffic has shown modest stability or slight week-over-week gains in some segments, yet aggregate flows remain constrained by elevated war-risk premiums, selective AIS dark transits, and rerouting incentives. The 7-day moving average near 26 on August 30 underscores the trader consensus, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the range absent major de-escalation.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
वॉल्यूम
$38,352समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 2:13 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
IMF PortWatchरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent data from maritime intelligence firms indicate that average daily transits through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait hovered in the mid-20s during late August 2026, aligning with the market's leading 25-29 outcome. Persistent Houthi-imposed restrictions on Saudi-linked vessels, including targeted attacks on tankers and a naval blockade, have suppressed overall volumes well below historical baselines of around 60 vessels per day. Non-Saudi traffic has shown modest stability or slight week-over-week gains in some segments, yet aggregate flows remain constrained by elevated war-risk premiums, selective AIS dark transits, and rerouting incentives. The 7-day moving average near 26 on August 30 underscores the trader consensus, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the range absent major de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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