Amazon’s current market capitalization stands near $2.72–2.76 trillion amid a share price of roughly $252–256. Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on the $2.50–3.00 trillion band at 37 percent implied probability, reflecting expectations that accelerating AWS revenue—up 37 percent year-over-year in Q2 2026 to a $169 billion annualized run rate—will be tempered by elevated 2026 capital expenditures now guided at approximately $220 billion and moderating sequential growth in Q3. The $3.00–3.50 trillion outcome at 22.5 percent incorporates analyst price targets clustered around $320–350, which would require sustained AI-driven operating leverage and favorable equity-market conditions through year-end. Recent share-price volatility, including a pullback from August highs near $287, and the October 29 earnings release remain key near-term catalysts shaping these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2.50-$3.00T 37%
$3.00-$3.50T 23%
$2.00-$2.50T 20%
$3.50-$4.00T 9%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
<$2.00T
7%
$2.00-$2.50T
20%
$2.50-$3.00T
37%
$3.00-$3.50T
23%
$3.50-$4.00T
9%
$4.00-$4.50T
5%
$4.50T+
5%
$2.50-$3.00T 37%
$3.00-$3.50T 23%
$2.00-$2.50T 20%
$3.50-$4.00T 9%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
<$2.00T
$351 वॉल्यूम
7%
$2.00-$2.50T
$583 वॉल्यूम
20%
$2.50-$3.00T
$826 वॉल्यूम
37%
$3.00-$3.50T
$263 वॉल्यूम
23%
$3.50-$4.00T
$288 वॉल्यूम
9%
$4.00-$4.50T
$207 वॉल्यूम
5%
$4.50T+
$277 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s current market capitalization stands near $2.72–2.76 trillion amid a share price of roughly $252–256. Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on the $2.50–3.00 trillion band at 37 percent implied probability, reflecting expectations that accelerating AWS revenue—up 37 percent year-over-year in Q2 2026 to a $169 billion annualized run rate—will be tempered by elevated 2026 capital expenditures now guided at approximately $220 billion and moderating sequential growth in Q3. The $3.00–3.50 trillion outcome at 22.5 percent incorporates analyst price targets clustered around $320–350, which would require sustained AI-driven operating leverage and favorable equity-market conditions through year-end. Recent share-price volatility, including a pullback from August highs near $287, and the October 29 earnings release remain key near-term catalysts shaping these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,796समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s current market capitalization stands near $2.72–2.76 trillion amid a share price of roughly $252–256. Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on the $2.50–3.00 trillion band at 37 percent implied probability, reflecting expectations that accelerating AWS revenue—up 37 percent year-over-year in Q2 2026 to a $169 billion annualized run rate—will be tempered by elevated 2026 capital expenditures now guided at approximately $220 billion and moderating sequential growth in Q3. The $3.00–3.50 trillion outcome at 22.5 percent incorporates analyst price targets clustered around $320–350, which would require sustained AI-driven operating leverage and favorable equity-market conditions through year-end. Recent share-price volatility, including a pullback from August highs near $287, and the October 29 earnings release remain key near-term catalysts shaping these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
वॉल्यूम
$2,796समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Amazon’s current market capitalization stands near $2.72–2.76 trillion amid a share price of roughly $252–256. Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on the $2.50–3.00 trillion band at 37 percent implied probability, reflecting expectations that accelerating AWS revenue—up 37 percent year-over-year in Q2 2026 to a $169 billion annualized run rate—will be tempered by elevated 2026 capital expenditures now guided at approximately $220 billion and moderating sequential growth in Q3. The $3.00–3.50 trillion outcome at 22.5 percent incorporates analyst price targets clustered around $320–350, which would require sustained AI-driven operating leverage and favorable equity-market conditions through year-end. Recent share-price volatility, including a pullback from August highs near $287, and the October 29 earnings release remain key near-term catalysts shaping these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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