Iran maintains administrative and military control over Abu Musa Island, which it has held since seizing the territory in 1971 alongside the Greater and Lesser Tunbs. Recent U.S. strikes during 2026 regional escalation targeted IRGC coastal defenses, missile sites, and related infrastructure on Abu Musa without altering Iranian authority, according to Iranian reports and independent accounts. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims through GCC and Arab League statements, urging bilateral talks or ICJ referral, while Tehran rejects these positions and has expanded housing, conducted naval drills, and deployed additional missile systems on the island. No change in effective control has been confirmed amid the broader Strait of Hormuz tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअबू मूसा द्वीप अब ईरानी नियंत्रण में नहीं है...?
अबू मूसा द्वीप अब ईरानी नियंत्रण में नहीं है...?
$96,439 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
3%
$96,439 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$3,041 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains administrative and military control over Abu Musa Island, which it has held since seizing the territory in 1971 alongside the Greater and Lesser Tunbs. Recent U.S. strikes during 2026 regional escalation targeted IRGC coastal defenses, missile sites, and related infrastructure on Abu Musa without altering Iranian authority, according to Iranian reports and independent accounts. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims through GCC and Arab League statements, urging bilateral talks or ICJ referral, while Tehran rejects these positions and has expanded housing, conducted naval drills, and deployed additional missile systems on the island. No change in effective control has been confirmed amid the broader Strait of Hormuz tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 26, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$96,439समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 11:05 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains administrative and military control over Abu Musa Island, which it has held since seizing the territory in 1971 alongside the Greater and Lesser Tunbs. Recent U.S. strikes during 2026 regional escalation targeted IRGC coastal defenses, missile sites, and related infrastructure on Abu Musa without altering Iranian authority, according to Iranian reports and independent accounts. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims through GCC and Arab League statements, urging bilateral talks or ICJ referral, while Tehran rejects these positions and has expanded housing, conducted naval drills, and deployed additional missile systems on the island. No change in effective control has been confirmed amid the broader Strait of Hormuz tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$96,439समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 11:05 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains administrative and military control over Abu Musa Island, which it has held since seizing the territory in 1971 alongside the Greater and Lesser Tunbs. Recent U.S. strikes during 2026 regional escalation targeted IRGC coastal defenses, missile sites, and related infrastructure on Abu Musa without altering Iranian authority, according to Iranian reports and independent accounts. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims through GCC and Arab League statements, urging bilateral talks or ICJ referral, while Tehran rejects these positions and has expanded housing, conducted naval drills, and deployed additional missile systems on the island. No change in effective control has been confirmed amid the broader Strait of Hormuz tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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