Spain edges France as trader consensus favorite at 16.3% implied probability for 2026 FIFA World Cup glory, with England close behind at 10.9%, underscoring the parity among Europe's elite after March's playoff finales confirmed the full 48-team field—including Bosnia and Herzegovina, Sweden, Türkiye, and Czechia via dramatic shootouts. La Roja's dominant UEFA group stage and favorable Group H draw against Uruguay, Cape Verde, and Saudi Arabia bolster their lead, while Les Bleus benefit from Mbappé's club form but face Senegal and Norway in Group I. England's depth shines, yet Argentina and Brazil lag post-grueling CONMEBOL qualifiers amid Messi's age concerns and Seleção's rebuild. The expanded format—top two plus eight best third-placed teams advancing—amplifies upset risks from rested squads and home-soil edges for hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico, keeping the race tight two months pre-kickoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयास्पेन 16.3%
फ्रांस 15.8%
इंग्लैंड 10.9%
अर्जेंटीना 8.8%
$685,505,678 वॉल्यूम
$685,505,678 वॉल्यूम
स्पेन
16%
फ्रांस
16%
इंग्लैंड
11%
अर्जेंटीना
9%
ब्राज़ील
9%
पुर्तगाल
7%
जर्मनी
5%
नीदरलैंड
3%
नॉर्वे
2%
जापान
2%
मोरक्को
2%
बेल्जियम
2%
कोलंबिया
2%
अमेरिका
1%
मेक्सिको
1%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
1%
उरुग्वे
1%
क्रोएशिया
1%
तुर्किए
1%
इक्वाडोर
1%
सेनेगल
1%
कनाडा
1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
1%
स्वीडन
1%
पराग्वे
<1%
आइवरी कोस्ट
<1%
दक्षिण कोरिया
<1%
स्कॉटलैंड
<1%
चेज़किया
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
ईरान
<1%
घाना
<1%
अल्जीरिया
<1%
बोस्निया-हर्जेगोविना
<1%
ट्यूनिशिया
<1%
पनामा
<1%
दक्षिण अफ्रीका
<1%
कांगो डीआर
<1%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
न्यूज़ीलैंड
<1%
हैती
<1%
जॉर्डन
<1%
क्यूरासाओ
<1%
उज़्बेकिस्तान
<1%
इराक
<1%
केप वर्दे
<1%
कतर
<1%
स्पेन 16.3%
फ्रांस 15.8%
इंग्लैंड 10.9%
अर्जेंटीना 8.8%
$685,505,678 वॉल्यूम
$685,505,678 वॉल्यूम
स्पेन
16%
फ्रांस
16%
इंग्लैंड
11%
अर्जेंटीना
9%
ब्राज़ील
9%
पुर्तगाल
7%
जर्मनी
5%
नीदरलैंड
3%
नॉर्वे
2%
जापान
2%
मोरक्को
2%
बेल्जियम
2%
कोलंबिया
2%
अमेरिका
1%
मेक्सिको
1%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
1%
उरुग्वे
1%
क्रोएशिया
1%
तुर्किए
1%
इक्वाडोर
1%
सेनेगल
1%
कनाडा
1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
1%
स्वीडन
1%
पराग्वे
<1%
आइवरी कोस्ट
<1%
दक्षिण कोरिया
<1%
स्कॉटलैंड
<1%
चेज़किया
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
ईरान
<1%
घाना
<1%
अल्जीरिया
<1%
बोस्निया-हर्जेगोविना
<1%
ट्यूनिशिया
<1%
पनामा
<1%
दक्षिण अफ्रीका
<1%
कांगो डीआर
<1%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
न्यूज़ीलैंड
<1%
हैती
<1%
जॉर्डन
<1%
क्यूरासाओ
<1%
उज़्बेकिस्तान
<1%
इराक
<1%
केप वर्दे
<1%
कतर
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain edges France as trader consensus favorite at 16.3% implied probability for 2026 FIFA World Cup glory, with England close behind at 10.9%, underscoring the parity among Europe's elite after March's playoff finales confirmed the full 48-team field—including Bosnia and Herzegovina, Sweden, Türkiye, and Czechia via dramatic shootouts. La Roja's dominant UEFA group stage and favorable Group H draw against Uruguay, Cape Verde, and Saudi Arabia bolster their lead, while Les Bleus benefit from Mbappé's club form but face Senegal and Norway in Group I. England's depth shines, yet Argentina and Brazil lag post-grueling CONMEBOL qualifiers amid Messi's age concerns and Seleção's rebuild. The expanded format—top two plus eight best third-placed teams advancing—amplifies upset risks from rested squads and home-soil edges for hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico, keeping the race tight two months pre-kickoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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