Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” holds a clear edge in the #2 US Spotify Song 2026 market at 61% implied probability due to its sustained 2026 resurgence. The 2024 track from his *Sweet Boy* mixtape went viral on TikTok, prompting an April radio push that drove repeated US daily #1s, strong Billboard Hot 100 peaks near #19, and consistent top-tier streaming through October. Minor July stream adjustments tied to betting scrutiny have not derailed its momentum. Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need” trails at 19% on the strength of its UK year-to-date lead and international longevity, while older catalog tracks and newer releases sit far lower. Final-quarter streaming surges and any late viral spikes remain the key swing factors before year-end tallies lock.
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