L'affaire de l'insurrection de Yoon Suk Yeol en prison ?
30+ ans 100.0%
Aucune peine de prison <1%
<5 ans <1%
5 à 10 ans <1%
$4,424,576 Vol.
$4,424,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Aucune peine de prison
$946,022 Vol.
Non
<5 ans
$617,105 Vol.
Non
5 à 10 ans
$601,201 Vol.
Non
10–15 ans
$464,919 Vol.
Non
15–20 ans
$569,899 Vol.
Non
20–30 ans
$484,857 Vol.
Non
30+ ans
$740,573 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol as part of his ongoing insurrection trial by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol as part of his ongoing insurrection trial by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Créé le : Dec 1, 2025, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,424,576Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Créé le
Dec 1, 2025, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
L'affaire de l'insurrection de Yoon Suk Yeol en prison ?
30+ ans 100.0%
Aucune peine de prison <1%
<5 ans <1%
5 à 10 ans <1%
$4,424,576 Vol.
$4,424,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Aucune peine de prison
$946,022 Vol.
Non
<5 ans
$617,105 Vol.
Non
5 à 10 ans
$601,201 Vol.
Non
10–15 ans
$464,919 Vol.
Non
15–20 ans
$569,899 Vol.
Non
20–30 ans
$484,857 Vol.
Non
30+ ans
$740,573 Vol.
Oui
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Frequently Asked Questions
"L'affaire de l'insurrection de Yoon Suk Yeol en prison ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30+ ans" at 100%, followed by "Aucune peine de prison" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "L'affaire de l'insurrection de Yoon Suk Yeol en prison ?" has generated $4.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "L'affaire de l'insurrection de Yoon Suk Yeol en prison ?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "L'affaire de l'insurrection de Yoon Suk Yeol en prison ?" is "30+ ans" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aucune peine de prison" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "L'affaire de l'insurrection de Yoon Suk Yeol en prison ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions