Spain enters Group H as the clear frontrunner with a recently confirmed squad featuring Lamine Yamal and core Euro 2024 winners under Luis de la Fuente, positioning the two-time champions for strong group-stage control against a field that includes CONMEBOL side Uruguay. The latter brings historical pedigree and a fresh squad under Marcelo Bielsa but trails significantly in current form and depth. Saudi Arabia and debutants Cape Verde, ranked far lower, face steep challenges in their first or limited World Cup outings, with limited recent momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus reflects Spain’s superior squad quality and recent international success as the dominant factors shaping these implied probabilities ahead of June matches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 79%
Uruguay 19%
Arabie saoudite 2.6%
Cap-Vert 1.4%
$202,761 Vol.
$202,761 Vol.
Espagne
79%
Uruguay
19%
Arabie saoudite
3%
Cap-Vert
1%
Espagne 79%
Uruguay 19%
Arabie saoudite 2.6%
Cap-Vert 1.4%
$202,761 Vol.
$202,761 Vol.
Espagne
79%
Uruguay
19%
Arabie saoudite
3%
Cap-Vert
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain enters Group H as the clear frontrunner with a recently confirmed squad featuring Lamine Yamal and core Euro 2024 winners under Luis de la Fuente, positioning the two-time champions for strong group-stage control against a field that includes CONMEBOL side Uruguay. The latter brings historical pedigree and a fresh squad under Marcelo Bielsa but trails significantly in current form and depth. Saudi Arabia and debutants Cape Verde, ranked far lower, face steep challenges in their first or limited World Cup outings, with limited recent momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus reflects Spain’s superior squad quality and recent international success as the dominant factors shaping these implied probabilities ahead of June matches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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