The closely contested 2026 World Cup Group D features the United States, Türkiye, Paraguay, and Australia, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the Americans and Turks due to their respective strengths. Co-host status and home crowds provide the USMNT an edge in the opening fixture against Paraguay, yet recent March results including losses to Belgium and Portugal highlight ongoing defensive and attacking inconsistencies. Türkiye’s momentum from playoff qualification, combined with creative talents such as Guler and Yildiz, positions them as a direct threat in a balanced group where average team ratings sit within a narrow range. Paraguay’s return after a long absence and Australia’s organized play add further parity, keeping the race for first place tight ahead of the June group stage matches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉtats-Unis 39%
Turquie 36%
Paraguay 19%
Australie 9.8%
$73,914 Vol.
$73,914 Vol.
États-Unis
39%
Turquie
36%
Paraguay
19%
Australie
10%
États-Unis 39%
Turquie 36%
Paraguay 19%
Australie 9.8%
$73,914 Vol.
$73,914 Vol.
États-Unis
39%
Turquie
36%
Paraguay
19%
Australie
10%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely contested 2026 World Cup Group D features the United States, Türkiye, Paraguay, and Australia, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the Americans and Turks due to their respective strengths. Co-host status and home crowds provide the USMNT an edge in the opening fixture against Paraguay, yet recent March results including losses to Belgium and Portugal highlight ongoing defensive and attacking inconsistencies. Türkiye’s momentum from playoff qualification, combined with creative talents such as Guler and Yildiz, positions them as a direct threat in a balanced group where average team ratings sit within a narrow range. Paraguay’s return after a long absence and Australia’s organized play add further parity, keeping the race for first place tight ahead of the June group stage matches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes