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Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$159 Vol.

Polymarket

May 1

$159 Vol.

26%

May 2

$0 Vol.

45%

May 3

$0 Vol.

41%

May 4

$0 Vol.

36%

May 5

$0 Vol.

37%

May 6

$0 Vol.

36%

May 7

$0 Vol.

37%

May 8

$0 Vol.

41%

May 9

$0 Vol.

41%

May 10

$0 Vol.

41%

May 11

$0 Vol.

41%

May 12

$0 Vol.

41%

May 13

$0 Vol.

41%

May 14

$0 Vol.

41%

May 15

$0 Vol.

41%

May 16

$0 Vol.

41%

May 17

$0 Vol.

41%

May 18

$0 Vol.

41%

May 19

$0 Vol.

41%

May 20

$0 Vol.

41%

May 21

$0 Vol.

41%

May 22

$0 Vol.

41%

May 23

$0 Vol.

41%

May 24

$0 Vol.

41%

May 25

$0 Vol.

41%

May 26

$0 Vol.

41%

May 27

$0 Vol.

41%

May 28

$0 Vol.

41%

May 29

$0 Vol.

41%

May 30

$0 Vol.

41%

May 31

$0 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature "YMCA dance"—a fist-pumping, hip-shaking move popularized at campaign rallies and UFC events—has evolved into a pop culture meme, spawning daily Polymarket props on whether he'll perform it publicly on specific dates like May 8 or 17. Trader consensus reflects his pattern of dancing at high-energy, celebratory appearances (e.g., resolved Yes markets at TPUSA and Easter events) but skipping formal ones, as at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner, cut short by a security scare and shooter evacuation with no performance. No public schedule is confirmed for near-term dates, but a May 2-3 visit to Trump National Doral for the PGA Tour's Cadillac Championship could spark momentum if it includes rally-style festivities; resolution demands verifiable video of intentional dancing amid heightened security scrutiny post-incident.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$159
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature "YMCA dance"—a fist-pumping, hip-shaking move popularized at campaign rallies and UFC events—has evolved into a pop culture meme, spawning daily Polymarket props on whether he'll perform it publicly on specific dates like May 8 or 17. Trader consensus reflects his pattern of dancing at high-energy, celebratory appearances (e.g., resolved Yes markets at TPUSA and Easter events) but skipping formal ones, as at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner, cut short by a security scare and shooter evacuation with no performance. No public schedule is confirmed for near-term dates, but a May 2-3 visit to Trump National Doral for the PGA Tour's Cadillac Championship could spark momentum if it includes rally-style festivities; resolution demands verifiable video of intentional dancing amid heightened security scrutiny post-incident.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$159
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

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Questions fréquentes

« Will Trump dance on...? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 31 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « May 2 » à 45%, suivi de « May 3 » à 41%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will Trump dance on...? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 28, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will Trump dance on...? », parcourez les 31 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Will Trump dance on...? » est « May 2 » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « May 3 » à 41%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Trump dance on...? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.