Republican majorities in the House have repeatedly blocked efforts to restrict military aid to Israel, as shown by the July 15, 2026 rejection of Rep. Thomas Massie’s amendment to eliminate $3.3 billion in foreign military financing from the FY2027 State Department appropriations bill on a 314-104 vote. Only 103 Democrats supported the cut, while the underlying measure preserving funding advanced along party lines. Related proposals such as H.R. 3565 and the Block the Bombs Act remain stalled without committee or floor action. The House instead advanced the NDAA with expanded U.S.-Israel defense cooperation provisions, reflecting continued bipartisan support for the existing security relationship ahead of the current memorandum of understanding. With few legislative days left before the September 30 deadline, trader consensus reflects these structural and recent procedural barriers to passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
6% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Oui
6% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican majorities in the House have repeatedly blocked efforts to restrict military aid to Israel, as shown by the July 15, 2026 rejection of Rep. Thomas Massie’s amendment to eliminate $3.3 billion in foreign military financing from the FY2027 State Department appropriations bill on a 314-104 vote. Only 103 Democrats supported the cut, while the underlying measure preserving funding advanced along party lines. Related proposals such as H.R. 3565 and the Block the Bombs Act remain stalled without committee or floor action. The House instead advanced the NDAA with expanded U.S.-Israel defense cooperation provisions, reflecting continued bipartisan support for the existing security relationship ahead of the current memorandum of understanding. With few legislative days left before the September 30 deadline, trader consensus reflects these structural and recent procedural barriers to passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,957Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican majorities in the House have repeatedly blocked efforts to restrict military aid to Israel, as shown by the July 15, 2026 rejection of Rep. Thomas Massie’s amendment to eliminate $3.3 billion in foreign military financing from the FY2027 State Department appropriations bill on a 314-104 vote. Only 103 Democrats supported the cut, while the underlying measure preserving funding advanced along party lines. Related proposals such as H.R. 3565 and the Block the Bombs Act remain stalled without committee or floor action. The House instead advanced the NDAA with expanded U.S.-Israel defense cooperation provisions, reflecting continued bipartisan support for the existing security relationship ahead of the current memorandum of understanding. With few legislative days left before the September 30 deadline, trader consensus reflects these structural and recent procedural barriers to passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,957Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in the House have repeatedly blocked efforts to restrict military aid to Israel, as shown by the July 15, 2026 rejection of Rep. Thomas Massie’s amendment to eliminate $3.3 billion in foreign military financing from the FY2027 State Department appropriations bill on a 314-104 vote. Only 103 Democrats supported the cut, while the underlying measure preserving funding advanced along party lines. Related proposals such as H.R. 3565 and the Block the Bombs Act remain stalled without committee or floor action. The House instead advanced the NDAA with expanded U.S.-Israel defense cooperation provisions, reflecting continued bipartisan support for the existing security relationship ahead of the current memorandum of understanding. With few legislative days left before the September 30 deadline, trader consensus reflects these structural and recent procedural barriers to passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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