Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus at 70% for receiving an endorsement from Donald Trump ahead of Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election. His positioning stems from repeated high-profile meetings with Trump at the White House, public praise in social media posts, and alignment on designating Brazilian criminal groups as terrorist organizations, alongside shared conservative regional priorities. Trump has amplified articles framing the Brazilian vote as a key Latin American test without issuing a formal endorsement to date, consistent with patterns of open support only when polls show a clear advantage. Other right-wing figures such as Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado register far lower probabilities, while Lula da Silva sits at 2.5% amid ongoing diplomatic tensions and tariff disputes. Recent campaign events through early September have reinforced Flávio’s status as the primary Trump-aligned contender in a closely watched contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFlávio Bolsonaro 70%
Romeu Zema 4.5%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.5%
Augusto Cury 3.4%
$21,750 Vol.
$21,750 Vol.
25 oct. 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
70%
Romeu Zema
5%
Ronaldo Caiado
4%
Augusto Cury
3%
Renan Santos
3%
Lula da Silva
3%
Flávio Bolsonaro 70%
Romeu Zema 4.5%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.5%
Augusto Cury 3.4%
$21,750 Vol.
$21,750 Vol.
25 oct. 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
$19,977 Vol.
70%
Romeu Zema
$797 Vol.
5%
Ronaldo Caiado
$285 Vol.
4%
Augusto Cury
$228 Vol.
3%
Renan Santos
$273 Vol.
3%
Lula da Silva
$190 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President. If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.
If Donald Trump issues multiple concurrent statements meeting this standard, directed at different individuals, this will not constitute a qualifying endorsement and this market will remain open and resolve based on the first standalone qualifying endorsement issued. Endorsements will be considered to be issued concurrently only if they are issued in the same written statement (e.g., a public social media post), or in a singular public speaking event (e.g., a press conference, a speech).
Endorsements via social media count only from verified accounts controlled by Donald Trump. Likes, reposts, or shares alone do not constitute a qualifying endorsement.
Once a qualifying endorsement has occurred, subsequent retractions, rescissions, or endorsements of other individuals will not affect the determination of the first individual endorsed. If Donald Trump does not issue any qualifying endorsements by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus at 70% for receiving an endorsement from Donald Trump ahead of Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election. His positioning stems from repeated high-profile meetings with Trump at the White House, public praise in social media posts, and alignment on designating Brazilian criminal groups as terrorist organizations, alongside shared conservative regional priorities. Trump has amplified articles framing the Brazilian vote as a key Latin American test without issuing a formal endorsement to date, consistent with patterns of open support only when polls show a clear advantage. Other right-wing figures such as Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado register far lower probabilities, while Lula da Silva sits at 2.5% amid ongoing diplomatic tensions and tariff disputes. Recent campaign events through early September have reinforced Flávio’s status as the primary Trump-aligned contender in a closely watched contest.
This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President. If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.
If Donald Trump issues multiple concurrent statements meeting this standard, directed at different individuals, this will not constitute a qualifying endorsement and this market will remain open and resolve based on the first standalone qualifying endorsement issued. Endorsements will be considered to be issued concurrently only if they are issued in the same written statement (e.g., a public social media post), or in a singular public speaking event (e.g., a press conference, a speech).
Endorsements via social media count only from verified accounts controlled by Donald Trump. Likes, reposts, or shares alone do not constitute a qualifying endorsement.
Once a qualifying endorsement has occurred, subsequent retractions, rescissions, or endorsements of other individuals will not affect the determination of the first individual endorsed. If Donald Trump does not issue any qualifying endorsements by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President. If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.
If Donald Trump issues multiple concurrent statements meeting this standard, directed at different individuals, this will not constitute a qualifying endorsement and this market will remain open and resolve based on the first standalone qualifying endorsement issued. Endorsements will be considered to be issued concurrently only if they are issued in the same written statement (e.g., a public social media post), or in a singular public speaking event (e.g., a press conference, a speech).
Endorsements via social media count only from verified accounts controlled by Donald Trump. Likes, reposts, or shares alone do not constitute a qualifying endorsement.
Once a qualifying endorsement has occurred, subsequent retractions, rescissions, or endorsements of other individuals will not affect the determination of the first individual endorsed. If Donald Trump does not issue any qualifying endorsements by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$21,750Date de fin
26 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President. If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.
If Donald Trump issues multiple concurrent statements meeting this standard, directed at different individuals, this will not constitute a qualifying endorsement and this market will remain open and resolve based on the first standalone qualifying endorsement issued. Endorsements will be considered to be issued concurrently only if they are issued in the same written statement (e.g., a public social media post), or in a singular public speaking event (e.g., a press conference, a speech).
Endorsements via social media count only from verified accounts controlled by Donald Trump. Likes, reposts, or shares alone do not constitute a qualifying endorsement.
Once a qualifying endorsement has occurred, subsequent retractions, rescissions, or endorsements of other individuals will not affect the determination of the first individual endorsed. If Donald Trump does not issue any qualifying endorsements by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus at 70% for receiving an endorsement from Donald Trump ahead of Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election. His positioning stems from repeated high-profile meetings with Trump at the White House, public praise in social media posts, and alignment on designating Brazilian criminal groups as terrorist organizations, alongside shared conservative regional priorities. Trump has amplified articles framing the Brazilian vote as a key Latin American test without issuing a formal endorsement to date, consistent with patterns of open support only when polls show a clear advantage. Other right-wing figures such as Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado register far lower probabilities, while Lula da Silva sits at 2.5% amid ongoing diplomatic tensions and tariff disputes. Recent campaign events through early September have reinforced Flávio’s status as the primary Trump-aligned contender in a closely watched contest.
This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President. If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.
If Donald Trump issues multiple concurrent statements meeting this standard, directed at different individuals, this will not constitute a qualifying endorsement and this market will remain open and resolve based on the first standalone qualifying endorsement issued. Endorsements will be considered to be issued concurrently only if they are issued in the same written statement (e.g., a public social media post), or in a singular public speaking event (e.g., a press conference, a speech).
Endorsements via social media count only from verified accounts controlled by Donald Trump. Likes, reposts, or shares alone do not constitute a qualifying endorsement.
Once a qualifying endorsement has occurred, subsequent retractions, rescissions, or endorsements of other individuals will not affect the determination of the first individual endorsed. If Donald Trump does not issue any qualifying endorsements by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President. If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.
If Donald Trump issues multiple concurrent statements meeting this standard, directed at different individuals, this will not constitute a qualifying endorsement and this market will remain open and resolve based on the first standalone qualifying endorsement issued. Endorsements will be considered to be issued concurrently only if they are issued in the same written statement (e.g., a public social media post), or in a singular public speaking event (e.g., a press conference, a speech).
Endorsements via social media count only from verified accounts controlled by Donald Trump. Likes, reposts, or shares alone do not constitute a qualifying endorsement.
Once a qualifying endorsement has occurred, subsequent retractions, rescissions, or endorsements of other individuals will not affect the determination of the first individual endorsed. If Donald Trump does not issue any qualifying endorsements by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$21,750Date de fin
26 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus at 70% for receiving an endorsement from Donald Trump ahead of Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election. His positioning stems from repeated high-profile meetings with Trump at the White House, public praise in social media posts, and alignment on designating Brazilian criminal groups as terrorist organizations, alongside shared conservative regional priorities. Trump has amplified articles framing the Brazilian vote as a key Latin American test without issuing a formal endorsement to date, consistent with patterns of open support only when polls show a clear advantage. Other right-wing figures such as Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado register far lower probabilities, while Lula da Silva sits at 2.5% amid ongoing diplomatic tensions and tariff disputes. Recent campaign events through early September have reinforced Flávio’s status as the primary Trump-aligned contender in a closely watched contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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