Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video AI sentiment due to its consistent top rankings across 2026 benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, up to 4K resolution, and realistic physics, distinguishing it from competitors lacking integrated sound or comparable cinematic control. Recent expansions, including Gemini app availability in new regions and YouTube Shorts integration, reinforce trader views of broad accessibility and production readiness ahead of the late-September cutoff. Rivals like ByteDance's Seedance and Kuaishou's Kling 3.0 show strength in specific arenas or value metrics but trail on overall leaderboards, while OpenAI's Sora faces discontinuation. Market-implied odds reflect this edge in verified capabilities rather than unconfirmed rumors, though rapid model updates could still shift dynamics before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoogle 88%
Luma AI 3.7%
Runway 3.2%
ByteDance 1.6%
$21,489 Vol.
$21,489 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
88%
Luma AI
4%
Runway
3%
ByteDance
2%
MiniMax
1%
Pruna
1%
Tencent
1%
Genmo AI
1%
OpenAI
1%
Pixverse
1%
KlingAI
1%
Lightricks
1%
Pika
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Meta
<1%
Google 88%
Luma AI 3.7%
Runway 3.2%
ByteDance 1.6%
$21,489 Vol.
$21,489 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
$14,231 Vol.
88%
Luma AI
$400 Vol.
4%
Runway
$547 Vol.
3%
ByteDance
$982 Vol.
2%
MiniMax
$645 Vol.
1%
Pruna
$399 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$350 Vol.
1%
Genmo AI
$436 Vol.
1%
OpenAI
$387 Vol.
1%
Pixverse
$370 Vol.
1%
KlingAI
$423 Vol.
1%
Lightricks
$431 Vol.
1%
Pika
$453 Vol.
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$365 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$458 Vol.
<1%
Kandinsky
$370 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video AI sentiment due to its consistent top rankings across 2026 benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, up to 4K resolution, and realistic physics, distinguishing it from competitors lacking integrated sound or comparable cinematic control. Recent expansions, including Gemini app availability in new regions and YouTube Shorts integration, reinforce trader views of broad accessibility and production readiness ahead of the late-September cutoff. Rivals like ByteDance's Seedance and Kuaishou's Kling 3.0 show strength in specific arenas or value metrics but trail on overall leaderboards, while OpenAI's Sora faces discontinuation. Market-implied odds reflect this edge in verified capabilities rather than unconfirmed rumors, though rapid model updates could still shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$21,489Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video AI sentiment due to its consistent top rankings across 2026 benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, up to 4K resolution, and realistic physics, distinguishing it from competitors lacking integrated sound or comparable cinematic control. Recent expansions, including Gemini app availability in new regions and YouTube Shorts integration, reinforce trader views of broad accessibility and production readiness ahead of the late-September cutoff. Rivals like ByteDance's Seedance and Kuaishou's Kling 3.0 show strength in specific arenas or value metrics but trail on overall leaderboards, while OpenAI's Sora faces discontinuation. Market-implied odds reflect this edge in verified capabilities rather than unconfirmed rumors, though rapid model updates could still shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$21,489Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video AI sentiment due to its consistent top rankings across 2026 benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, up to 4K resolution, and realistic physics, distinguishing it from competitors lacking integrated sound or comparable cinematic control. Recent expansions, including Gemini app availability in new regions and YouTube Shorts integration, reinforce trader views of broad accessibility and production readiness ahead of the late-September cutoff. Rivals like ByteDance's Seedance and Kuaishou's Kling 3.0 show strength in specific arenas or value metrics but trail on overall leaderboards, while OpenAI's Sora faces discontinuation. Market-implied odds reflect this edge in verified capabilities rather than unconfirmed rumors, though rapid model updates could still shift dynamics before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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