Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment with its unmatched native audio generation, including 48kHz lip-synced dialogue and cinematic prompt control, powering strong availability in Gemini and Workspace tools as of mid-2026. This positions the company ahead in benchmarks emphasizing realistic physics and integrated sound, driving the 72.5% implied probability. ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, released in July with 30-second 4K clips, multimodal references, and local editing, accounts for its 23.4% share by excelling in long-form and controllable generation. Most other labs trail due to gaps in audio fidelity or production features, though arenas shift quickly ahead of the August 31 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoogle 73%
ByteDance 23.4%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$26,783 Vol.
$26,783 Vol.

73%

ByteDance
23%

MiniMax
1%

Meta
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

Kandinsky
<1%

Tencent
<1%

OpenAI
<1%

Lightricks
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Pixverse
<1%

Runway
<1%

KlingAI
<1%

Pruna
<1%

Pika
<1%
Google 73%
ByteDance 23.4%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$26,783 Vol.
$26,783 Vol.

73%

ByteDance
23%

MiniMax
1%

Meta
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

Kandinsky
<1%

Tencent
<1%

OpenAI
<1%

Lightricks
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Pixverse
<1%

Runway
<1%

KlingAI
<1%

Pruna
<1%

Pika
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Source de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment with its unmatched native audio generation, including 48kHz lip-synced dialogue and cinematic prompt control, powering strong availability in Gemini and Workspace tools as of mid-2026. This positions the company ahead in benchmarks emphasizing realistic physics and integrated sound, driving the 72.5% implied probability. ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, released in July with 30-second 4K clips, multimodal references, and local editing, accounts for its 23.4% share by excelling in long-form and controllable generation. Most other labs trail due to gaps in audio fidelity or production features, though arenas shift quickly ahead of the August 31 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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