OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026, drives the 91% market-implied odds through its commanding lead on major text-to-image leaderboards, posting Elo scores around 1,370–1,372 that exceed the next models by 40–70 points. The model’s native reasoning step before rendering, combined with strong prompt adherence, 2K resolution, and superior text rendering, has produced consistent wins in blind user comparisons on arenas like Artificial Analysis. No competing release from Meta, Google, Black Forest Labs, or others has closed the gap in the past four months. A late-August launch of a significantly stronger model by a rival remains the main scenario that could shift consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOpenAI 91%
IA de Microsoft 4.2%
Meta 3.7%
Alibaba 3.0%
$21,016 Vol.
$21,016 Vol.

OpenAI
91%

IA de Microsoft
4%

Meta
4%

Alibaba
3%

Tencent
3%

Black Forest Labs
2%

1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Ideogram
<1%

Reve
<1%

Recraft
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Luma AI
<1%
OpenAI 91%
IA de Microsoft 4.2%
Meta 3.7%
Alibaba 3.0%
$21,016 Vol.
$21,016 Vol.

OpenAI
91%

IA de Microsoft
4%

Meta
4%

Alibaba
3%

Tencent
3%

Black Forest Labs
2%

1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Ideogram
<1%

Reve
<1%

Recraft
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Luma AI
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 10:56 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Source de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026, drives the 91% market-implied odds through its commanding lead on major text-to-image leaderboards, posting Elo scores around 1,370–1,372 that exceed the next models by 40–70 points. The model’s native reasoning step before rendering, combined with strong prompt adherence, 2K resolution, and superior text rendering, has produced consistent wins in blind user comparisons on arenas like Artificial Analysis. No competing release from Meta, Google, Black Forest Labs, or others has closed the gap in the past four months. A late-August launch of a significantly stronger model by a rival remains the main scenario that could shift consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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