Recent stalled peace efforts between the United States and Russia, including the breakdown of U.S.-brokered talks over territory and the unraveling of a May 2026 ceasefire, have positioned the absence of a 2026 Trump-Putin meeting as the leading outcome. The August 2025 Alaska summit produced no agreement, and subsequent July 2026 contacts have yielded only commitments to future discussions without scheduled dates. Ongoing battlefield escalation and sanctions dynamics reinforce trader caution on venues such as Russia or the United States. China's elevated share reflects potential multilateral settings, while low probabilities for neutral sites like Switzerland or Turkey stem from limited recent diplomatic signals and procedural hurdles in arranging high-level bilateral encounters before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 67%
China 29%
Russia 1.3%
United States 1.1%
$368,745 Vol.
$368,745 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
67%

China
29%

Russia
1%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 67%
China 29%
Russia 1.3%
United States 1.1%
$368,745 Vol.
$368,745 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
67%

China
29%

Russia
1%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stalled peace efforts between the United States and Russia, including the breakdown of U.S.-brokered talks over territory and the unraveling of a May 2026 ceasefire, have positioned the absence of a 2026 Trump-Putin meeting as the leading outcome. The August 2025 Alaska summit produced no agreement, and subsequent July 2026 contacts have yielded only commitments to future discussions without scheduled dates. Ongoing battlefield escalation and sanctions dynamics reinforce trader caution on venues such as Russia or the United States. China's elevated share reflects potential multilateral settings, while low probabilities for neutral sites like Switzerland or Turkey stem from limited recent diplomatic signals and procedural hurdles in arranging high-level bilateral encounters before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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