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icon for Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

icon for Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

10th-12th 54%

6th or higher 24%

7th-9th 11%

Below 15th 5.9%

Polymarket

$11,549 Vol.

10th-12th 54%

6th or higher 24%

7th-9th 11%

Below 15th 5.9%

Polymarket

$11,549 Vol.

6th or higher

$6,285 Vol.

24%

7th-9th

$1,141 Vol.

11%

10th-12th

$3,468 Vol.

54%

13th-15th

$329 Vol.

4%

Below 15th

$326 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer performance and year-to-date momentum have positioned 2026 for a mid-tier all-time domestic ranking, driving the 53.5% implied probability on 10th-12th place.** Through mid-September, the market has surpassed $7.4 billion, fueled by record summer grosses exceeding $4.76 billion—topping 2013—led by *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* nearing $935 million domestically, *The Odyssey* past $600 million, and *Toy Story 5* contributing significantly. Analysts project a full-year total near or above $9 billion, potentially the highest since 2019, supported by robust attendance trends and hits across studios. However, fall variability and the impact of December tentpoles like *Avengers: Doomsday* and *Dune: Part Three* remain key swing factors that could shift the final standing relative to historical benchmarks such as 2023’s $8.9 billion or pre-pandemic peaks. Trader consensus reflects this balanced but not elite trajectory.

This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.

2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.

This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.

This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.

If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$11,549
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer performance and year-to-date momentum have positioned 2026 for a mid-tier all-time domestic ranking, driving the 53.5% implied probability on 10th-12th place.** Through mid-September, the market has surpassed $7.4 billion, fueled by record summer grosses exceeding $4.76 billion—topping 2013—led by *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* nearing $935 million domestically, *The Odyssey* past $600 million, and *Toy Story 5* contributing significantly. Analysts project a full-year total near or above $9 billion, potentially the highest since 2019, supported by robust attendance trends and hits across studios. However, fall variability and the impact of December tentpoles like *Avengers: Doomsday* and *Dune: Part Three* remain key swing factors that could shift the final standing relative to historical benchmarks such as 2023’s $8.9 billion or pre-pandemic peaks. Trader consensus reflects this balanced but not elite trajectory.

This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.

2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.

This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.

This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.

If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$11,549
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Les Avengers : Doomsday aura-t-il le meilleur week-end d'ouverture national en 2026 ?

Les Avengers : Doomsday aura-t-il le meilleur week-end d'ouverture national en 2026 ?

54%
Oui
icon for Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

61%
icon for Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

55%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 10th-12th » à 54%, suivi de « 6th or higher » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 54¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? » a généré $11.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? » est « 10th-12th » à 54%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 6th or higher » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.