Persistent high mortgage rates near 6.4-6.6% continue to constrain buyer demand and limit transaction volumes, supporting trader consensus for limited appreciation in the median U.S. home value through September 30. Recent Zillow data peg typical values near $373,000 as of June with just 0.8% year-over-year growth, while NAR and Census median sale prices hover between $374,000 and $410,000 amid flat-to-modest gains. Chronic inventory shortages from the rate lock-in effect and underbuilding keep upward pressure contained, aligning with forecasts for flat 2026 price paths from J.P. Morgan and others. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming housing starts, existing-home sales releases, and any FOMC signals on rates that could shift affordability dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<419 000 $ 54.3%
419 000 $ - 426 000 $ 35.8%
426 K$ - 433 K$ 11.6%
433 000 $ - 440 000 $ 2.1%
$49,058 Vol.
$49,058 Vol.
<419 000 $
54%
419 000 $ - 426 000 $
36%
426 K$ - 433 K$
12%
433 000 $ - 440 000 $
2%
440K$ - 447K$
<1%
447 000 $ - 454 000 $
<1%
454 000 $+
<1%
<419 000 $ 54.3%
419 000 $ - 426 000 $ 35.8%
426 K$ - 433 K$ 11.6%
433 000 $ - 440 000 $ 2.1%
$49,058 Vol.
$49,058 Vol.
<419 000 $
54%
419 000 $ - 426 000 $
36%
426 K$ - 433 K$
12%
433 000 $ - 440 000 $
2%
440K$ - 447K$
<1%
447 000 $ - 454 000 $
<1%
454 000 $+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high mortgage rates near 6.4-6.6% continue to constrain buyer demand and limit transaction volumes, supporting trader consensus for limited appreciation in the median U.S. home value through September 30. Recent Zillow data peg typical values near $373,000 as of June with just 0.8% year-over-year growth, while NAR and Census median sale prices hover between $374,000 and $410,000 amid flat-to-modest gains. Chronic inventory shortages from the rate lock-in effect and underbuilding keep upward pressure contained, aligning with forecasts for flat 2026 price paths from J.P. Morgan and others. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming housing starts, existing-home sales releases, and any FOMC signals on rates that could shift affordability dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La valeur médiane des maisons à New York sera-t-elle comprise entre 636 000 $ et 663 000 $ au 30 septembre ?
La valeur médiane des maisons dans la région métropolitaine de Los Angeles sera-t-elle comprise entre 1 153 000 $ et 1 169 000 $ au 30 septembre ?
La valeur médiane des maisons à Miami sera-t-elle comprise entre 1 089 000 $ et 1 125 000 $ au 30 septembre ?
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