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icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
Économie·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
Économie·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

<432k 100.0%

432 - 434k <1%

434 - 436k <1%

436 - 438k <1%

Polymarket

$6,938 Vol.

<432k 100.0%

432 - 434k <1%

434 - 436k <1%

436 - 438k <1%

Polymarket

$6,938 Vol.

<432k

$1,956 Vol.

Yes

432 - 434k

$946 Vol.

No

434 - 436k

$397 Vol.

No

436 - 438k

$655 Vol.

No

438 - 440k

$1,605 Vol.

No

440 - 442k

$438 Vol.

No

442 - 445k

$308 Vol.

No

>445k

$633 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Trader consensus on the median US home value remaining below 432k on May 31 reflects the latest national benchmarks clustered between 360k and 420k, including the Census Bureau’s Q1 2026 median sales price of 403,200 and Zillow’s estimated home values near 368k as of late April. Slowing year-over-year appreciation, reported at just 0.4% in March data, combined with persistently elevated mortgage rates, has capped price momentum and limited monthly gains. High financing costs continue to weigh on buyer demand, keeping transaction medians anchored. While a sudden surge in luxury sales or a data revision could theoretically push readings higher, such shifts would require unprecedented one-month acceleration inconsistent with recent trends in existing-home and new-home metrics.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Volume
$6,938
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Trader consensus on the median US home value remaining below 432k on May 31 reflects the latest national benchmarks clustered between 360k and 420k, including the Census Bureau’s Q1 2026 median sales price of 403,200 and Zillow’s estimated home values near 368k as of late April. Slowing year-over-year appreciation, reported at just 0.4% in March data, combined with persistently elevated mortgage rates, has capped price momentum and limited monthly gains. High financing costs continue to weigh on buyer demand, keeping transaction medians anchored. While a sudden surge in luxury sales or a data revision could theoretically push readings higher, such shifts would require unprecedented one-month acceleration inconsistent with recent trends in existing-home and new-home metrics.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Volume
$6,938
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« What will the median home value in the US be on May 31? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <432k » à 100%, suivi de « 432 - 434k » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« What will the median home value in the US be on May 31? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 4, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « What will the median home value in the US be on May 31? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « What will the median home value in the US be on May 31? » est « <432k » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 432 - 434k » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « What will the median home value in the US be on May 31? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.