Recent federal workforce reductions and associated job uncertainty have elevated inventory levels across the DMV region, contributing to softer demand and modest downward pressure on home values. Data through mid-2026 show mixed results, with some indices reflecting year-over-year declines of 1-4% amid higher listings and slower sales, while others note resilience in median sale prices near prior peaks. These dynamics align with trader consensus clustering around the $518K-$536K range, as participants weigh persistent supply increases against broader monetary policy stability and seasonal summer activity. Resolution on September 30 will hinge on August transaction data, where further inventory growth or rate movements could shift the outcome within the closely contested buckets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 septembre ?
518 000 $ - 524 000 $ 28.0%
524 000 $ - 530 000 $ 25.3%
530 000 $ - 536 000 $ 21.4%
536 000 $ - 542 000 $ 19%
$15,280 Vol.
$15,280 Vol.
<512 000 $
2%
512K $ - 518K $
5%
518 000 $ - 524 000 $
28%
524 000 $ - 530 000 $
24%
530 000 $ - 536 000 $
21%
536 000 $ - 542 000 $
19%
542 000 $+
10%
518 000 $ - 524 000 $ 28.0%
524 000 $ - 530 000 $ 25.3%
530 000 $ - 536 000 $ 21.4%
536 000 $ - 542 000 $ 19%
$15,280 Vol.
$15,280 Vol.
<512 000 $
2%
512K $ - 518K $
5%
518 000 $ - 524 000 $
28%
524 000 $ - 530 000 $
24%
530 000 $ - 536 000 $
21%
536 000 $ - 542 000 $
19%
542 000 $+
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent federal workforce reductions and associated job uncertainty have elevated inventory levels across the DMV region, contributing to softer demand and modest downward pressure on home values. Data through mid-2026 show mixed results, with some indices reflecting year-over-year declines of 1-4% amid higher listings and slower sales, while others note resilience in median sale prices near prior peaks. These dynamics align with trader consensus clustering around the $518K-$536K range, as participants weigh persistent supply increases against broader monetary policy stability and seasonal summer activity. Resolution on September 30 will hinge on August transaction data, where further inventory growth or rate movements could shift the outcome within the closely contested buckets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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