Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing US-Iran conflict and related shipping attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea drove sharp volatility in WTI crude during September 2026, pushing prices above $100 per barrel mid-month with intraday highs near $107 before partial pullbacks. Supply disruptions and a tight distillate market supported the rally, while Saudi export recoveries and truce negotiations later capped gains, leaving WTI settling near $96 by late September amid mixed inventory builds. Market-implied odds reflected trader focus on these risk premiums over baseline demand forecasts, with resolution hinging on verified Pyth highs and lows for the active contract.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourView resolved

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