Recent satellite observations and reconnaissance data confirm Typhoon Koguma rapidly intensified over favorable warm waters east of the Mariana Islands, reaching peak sustained winds near 120-140 mph and central pressures around 950-955 hPa by October 10-11. These metrics align with Japan Meteorological Agency criteria for a very strong typhoon, supported by model consensus from JTWC and JMA tracking its structural organization and outflow. As of October 13, the system has weakened to category 1 strength near 35°N while recurving northeast, with forecasts indicating extratropical transition within 48 hours. Market-implied odds near 98% for very strong reflect this verified peak intensity, though revised post-season reanalysis or differing wind-averaging methods could theoretically alter the final classification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourView resolved

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