**Ongoing geopolitical tensions, intensified US sanctions, and disruptions to Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on open markets.** By late August 2026, the street rate reached approximately 2.1 million rials per USD amid renewed US-Iran military exchanges, including strikes on August 30, a naval blockade, and halted crude shipments, which tightened hard-currency availability and amplified inflationary pressures exceeding 40 percent annually. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 2.1-2.2 million range as the prevailing end-of-August outcome, reflecting real-money assessments of these persistent supply constraints and eroded confidence. A credible shift away from this band would require rapid de-escalation, major sanctions relief, or successful central bank stabilization measures that restore meaningful access to export revenues within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,1-2,2M 100.0%
<1,7 M <1%
1,7-1,8 M <1%
1,8-1,9 M <1%
$201,076 Vol.
$201,076 Vol.
31 août 2026
<1,7 M
Non
1,7-1,8 M
Non
1,8-1,9 M
Non
1,9-2,0 M
Non
2,0-2,1 M
Non
2,1-2,2M
Oui
2,2M+
Non
2,1-2,2M 100.0%
<1,7 M <1%
1,7-1,8 M <1%
1,8-1,9 M <1%
$201,076 Vol.
$201,076 Vol.
31 août 2026
<1,7 M
$15,536 Vol.
Non
1,7-1,8 M
$8,440 Vol.
Non
1,8-1,9 M
$23,601 Vol.
Non
1,9-2,0 M
$39,040 Vol.
Non
2,0-2,1 M
$42,379 Vol.
Non
2,1-2,2M
$45,875 Vol.
Oui
2,2M+
$26,206 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing geopolitical tensions, intensified US sanctions, and disruptions to Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on open markets.** By late August 2026, the street rate reached approximately 2.1 million rials per USD amid renewed US-Iran military exchanges, including strikes on August 30, a naval blockade, and halted crude shipments, which tightened hard-currency availability and amplified inflationary pressures exceeding 40 percent annually. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 2.1-2.2 million range as the prevailing end-of-August outcome, reflecting real-money assessments of these persistent supply constraints and eroded confidence.
A credible shift away from this band would require rapid de-escalation, major sanctions relief, or successful central bank stabilization measures that restore meaningful access to export revenues within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$201,076Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing geopolitical tensions, intensified US sanctions, and disruptions to Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on open markets.** By late August 2026, the street rate reached approximately 2.1 million rials per USD amid renewed US-Iran military exchanges, including strikes on August 30, a naval blockade, and halted crude shipments, which tightened hard-currency availability and amplified inflationary pressures exceeding 40 percent annually. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 2.1-2.2 million range as the prevailing end-of-August outcome, reflecting real-money assessments of these persistent supply constraints and eroded confidence.
A credible shift away from this band would require rapid de-escalation, major sanctions relief, or successful central bank stabilization measures that restore meaningful access to export revenues within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$201,076Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Ongoing geopolitical tensions, intensified US sanctions, and disruptions to Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on open markets.** By late August 2026, the street rate reached approximately 2.1 million rials per USD amid renewed US-Iran military exchanges, including strikes on August 30, a naval blockade, and halted crude shipments, which tightened hard-currency availability and amplified inflationary pressures exceeding 40 percent annually. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 2.1-2.2 million range as the prevailing end-of-August outcome, reflecting real-money assessments of these persistent supply constraints and eroded confidence. A credible shift away from this band would require rapid de-escalation, major sanctions relief, or successful central bank stabilization measures that restore meaningful access to export revenues within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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