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icon for Les États-Unis et l'Iran signent un accord d'ici le… ?

Les États-Unis et l'Iran signent un accord d'ici le… ?

icon for Les États-Unis et l'Iran signent un accord d'ici le… ?

Les États-Unis et l'Iran signent un accord d'ici le… ?

$21,392,137 Vol.

16 juin 2026
Polymarket

$21,392,137 Vol.

Polymarket

15 juin

$20,219,694 Vol.

Oui

22 juin

$470,802 Vol.

Oui

30 juin

$486,285 Vol.

Oui

31 juillet

$215,356 Vol.

Oui

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,392,137
Date de fin
31 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat final: Oui

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,392,137
Date de fin
31 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat final: Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Les États-Unis et l'Iran signent un accord d'ici le… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 15 juin » à 100%, suivi de « 22 juin » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Les États-Unis et l'Iran signent un accord d'ici le… ? » a généré $21.4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Les États-Unis et l'Iran signent un accord d'ici le… ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Les États-Unis et l'Iran signent un accord d'ici le… ? » est « 15 juin » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 22 juin » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Les États-Unis et l'Iran signent un accord d'ici le… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.