TX-18 remains a reliably Democratic Houston-area seat following redistricting that folded much of the former 9th district into the new boundaries. Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special election runoff to fill the vacancy left by Sylvester Turner’s death, faces longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff; recent University of Houston and Lake Research Partners polling shows Menefee ahead by double digits. The Democratic nominee is expected to face only token Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with the district’s strong partisan lean and voting history. Traders price this outcome at 78.5 percent for Democrats, reflecting these structural and electoral fundamentals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-18
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-18
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
78%
Parti républicain
18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
78%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-18 remains a reliably Democratic Houston-area seat following redistricting that folded much of the former 9th district into the new boundaries. Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special election runoff to fill the vacancy left by Sylvester Turner’s death, faces longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff; recent University of Houston and Lake Research Partners polling shows Menefee ahead by double digits. The Democratic nominee is expected to face only token Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with the district’s strong partisan lean and voting history. Traders price this outcome at 78.5 percent for Democrats, reflecting these structural and electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-18 remains a reliably Democratic Houston-area seat following redistricting that folded much of the former 9th district into the new boundaries. Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special election runoff to fill the vacancy left by Sylvester Turner’s death, faces longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff; recent University of Houston and Lake Research Partners polling shows Menefee ahead by double digits. The Democratic nominee is expected to face only token Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with the district’s strong partisan lean and voting history. Traders price this outcome at 78.5 percent for Democrats, reflecting these structural and electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...TX-18 remains a reliably Democratic Houston-area seat following redistricting that folded much of the former 9th district into the new boundaries. Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special election runoff to fill the vacancy left by Sylvester Turner’s death, faces longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff; recent University of Houston and Lake Research Partners polling shows Menefee ahead by double digits. The Democratic nominee is expected to face only token Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with the district’s strong partisan lean and voting history. Traders price this outcome at 78.5 percent for Democrats, reflecting these structural and electoral fundamentals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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