Recent polling averages from major survey organizations have placed Donald Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-June 2026, aligning closely with the 38.5–38.9 range and driving near-certain trader consensus. Economic indicators such as inflation trends, employment figures, and legislative progress on budget and immigration measures appear to have anchored sentiment in this band. Scheduled events including congressional votes and public addresses in the preceding weeks reinforced stability without producing sharp shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include revisions to final poll releases, changes in weighting methodologies, or unexpected developments in foreign policy or legal proceedings occurring after the June 12 measurement window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour38.5–38.9 99.6%
39.0–39.4 <1%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
$15,840 Vol.
$15,840 Vol.
12 juin 2026
<38.0
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0–39.4
No
39.5–39.9
No
40.0+
No
38.5–38.9 99.6%
39.0–39.4 <1%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
$15,840 Vol.
$15,840 Vol.
12 juin 2026
<38.0
$1,943 Vol.
No
38.0–38.4
$4,530 Vol.
No
38.5–38.9
$3,096 Vol.
Yes
39.0–39.4
$3,155 Vol.
No
39.5–39.9
$2,227 Vol.
No
40.0+
$888 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from major survey organizations have placed Donald Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-June 2026, aligning closely with the 38.5–38.9 range and driving near-certain trader consensus. Economic indicators such as inflation trends, employment figures, and legislative progress on budget and immigration measures appear to have anchored sentiment in this band. Scheduled events including congressional votes and public addresses in the preceding weeks reinforced stability without producing sharp shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include revisions to final poll releases, changes in weighting methodologies, or unexpected developments in foreign policy or legal proceedings occurring after the June 12 measurement window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$15,840Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from major survey organizations have placed Donald Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-June 2026, aligning closely with the 38.5–38.9 range and driving near-certain trader consensus. Economic indicators such as inflation trends, employment figures, and legislative progress on budget and immigration measures appear to have anchored sentiment in this band. Scheduled events including congressional votes and public addresses in the preceding weeks reinforced stability without producing sharp shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include revisions to final poll releases, changes in weighting methodologies, or unexpected developments in foreign policy or legal proceedings occurring after the June 12 measurement window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$15,840Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent polling averages from major survey organizations have placed Donald Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-June 2026, aligning closely with the 38.5–38.9 range and driving near-certain trader consensus. Economic indicators such as inflation trends, employment figures, and legislative progress on budget and immigration measures appear to have anchored sentiment in this band. Scheduled events including congressional votes and public addresses in the preceding weeks reinforced stability without producing sharp shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include revisions to final poll releases, changes in weighting methodologies, or unexpected developments in foreign policy or legal proceedings occurring after the June 12 measurement window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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