Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour37,5–37,9 1.0%
38,0–38,4 1.0%
<37,0 <1%
37,0–37,4 <1%
$1,878 Vol.
$1,878 Vol.
7 août 2026
<37,0
Non
37,0–37,4
Non
37,5–37,9
Non
38,0–38,4
Non
38,5–38,9
Oui
39,0+
Non
37,5–37,9 1.0%
38,0–38,4 1.0%
<37,0 <1%
37,0–37,4 <1%
$1,878 Vol.
$1,878 Vol.
7 août 2026
<37,0
$333 Vol.
Non
37,0–37,4
$296 Vol.
Non
37,5–37,9
$143 Vol.
Non
38,0–38,4
$283 Vol.
Non
38,5–38,9
$365 Vol.
Oui
39,0+
$460 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$1,878Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,878Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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