Trump’s approval rating on August 21, 2026, settled near 38 percent in most polling aggregates because recent surveys showed little movement from the mid-to-high 30s range that had prevailed through July and early August. Ongoing public concern over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and related economic pressures continued to weigh on overall sentiment, while Republican support remained relatively steady but below earlier levels in the second term. Aggregators including Silver Bulletin, Decision Desk HQ, and VoteHub placed the figure between 37 and 39 percent on that date, producing tight clustering around the 38.0–38.4 band that traders heavily favored. A sudden release of outlier polls or a shift in how the market weights specific surveys could still alter the final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour38,0–38,4 99.6%
<37,0 <1%
37,0–37,4 <1%
37,5–37,9 <1%
$6,074 Vol.
$6,074 Vol.
<37,0
Non
37,0–37,4
Non
37,5–37,9
Non
38,0–38,4
Oui
38,5–38,9
Non
39,0+
Non
38,0–38,4 99.6%
<37,0 <1%
37,0–37,4 <1%
37,5–37,9 <1%
$6,074 Vol.
$6,074 Vol.
<37,0
Non
37,0–37,4
Non
37,5–37,9
Non
38,0–38,4
Oui
38,5–38,9
Non
39,0+
Non
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trump’s approval rating on August 21, 2026, settled near 38 percent in most polling aggregates because recent surveys showed little movement from the mid-to-high 30s range that had prevailed through July and early August. Ongoing public concern over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and related economic pressures continued to weigh on overall sentiment, while Republican support remained relatively steady but below earlier levels in the second term. Aggregators including Silver Bulletin, Decision Desk HQ, and VoteHub placed the figure between 37 and 39 percent on that date, producing tight clustering around the 38.0–38.4 band that traders heavily favored. A sudden release of outlier polls or a shift in how the market weights specific surveys could still alter the final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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