Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour« Toy Story 5 » 4e box-office du week-end
« Toy Story 5 » 4e box-office du week-end
19-21 millions 100.0%
<19m <1%
21-23 M <1%
23-25m <1%
$50,116 Vol.
$50,116 Vol.
12 juil. 2026
<19m
Non
19-21 millions
Oui
21-23 M
Non
23-25m
Non
25M+
Non
19-21 millions 100.0%
<19m <1%
21-23 M <1%
23-25m <1%
$50,116 Vol.
$50,116 Vol.
12 juil. 2026
<19m
$30,577 Vol.
Non
19-21 millions
$15,942 Vol.
Oui
21-23 M
$1,290 Vol.
Non
23-25m
$1,391 Vol.
Non
25M+
$917 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Volume
$50,116Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:34 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$50,116Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:34 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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