**Z.ai and Google hold near-even odds around 36% each to finish third in Text Arena’s mathematical category by end of October, with OpenAI at 21%, reflecting tight lab-level competition behind Anthropic’s clear lead.** Current lmarena.ai math rankings show Anthropic’s Claude models dominating the top spots through superior chain-of-thought and agentic reasoning on competition-style problems, while Google’s Gemini 3.8/3.7 flash variants and Z.ai’s GLM-5.3 series cluster just behind in head-to-head votes. OpenAI’s recent Navier-Stokes formalization breakthrough has lifted its visibility but has not yet translated into sustained arena gains. Differentiators include Z.ai’s rapid open-weight iteration and cost-efficient scaling, Google’s consistent multimodal math updates, and OpenAI’s focus on frontier agent swarms versus more incremental releases from Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta. With roughly six weeks left, any new flagship launch or post-training math specialization could shift the third-place consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourZ.ai 36.1%
Google 36%
OpenAI 21%
Alibaba 6%
$40,353 Vol.
$40,353 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
Z.ai
36%
36%
OpenAI
21%
Alibaba
6%
Moonshot
2%
Baidu
1%
Anthropic
1%
Nvidia
1%
Meituan
1%
Xiaomi
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Z.ai 36.1%
Google 36%
OpenAI 21%
Alibaba 6%
$40,353 Vol.
$40,353 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
Z.ai
$2,190 Vol.
36%
$10,688 Vol.
36%
OpenAI
$3,910 Vol.
21%
Alibaba
$10,601 Vol.
6%
Moonshot
$987 Vol.
2%
Baidu
$834 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$810 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$1,284 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$1,640 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$806 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$787 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$769 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$789 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$812 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$855 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$632 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$495 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$646 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$422 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Z.ai and Google hold near-even odds around 36% each to finish third in Text Arena’s mathematical category by end of October, with OpenAI at 21%, reflecting tight lab-level competition behind Anthropic’s clear lead.** Current lmarena.ai math rankings show Anthropic’s Claude models dominating the top spots through superior chain-of-thought and agentic reasoning on competition-style problems, while Google’s Gemini 3.8/3.7 flash variants and Z.ai’s GLM-5.3 series cluster just behind in head-to-head votes. OpenAI’s recent Navier-Stokes formalization breakthrough has lifted its visibility but has not yet translated into sustained arena gains. Differentiators include Z.ai’s rapid open-weight iteration and cost-efficient scaling, Google’s consistent multimodal math updates, and OpenAI’s focus on frontier agent swarms versus more incremental releases from Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta. With roughly six weeks left, any new flagship launch or post-training math specialization could shift the third-place consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Volume
$40,353Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Z.ai and Google hold near-even odds around 36% each to finish third in Text Arena’s mathematical category by end of October, with OpenAI at 21%, reflecting tight lab-level competition behind Anthropic’s clear lead.** Current lmarena.ai math rankings show Anthropic’s Claude models dominating the top spots through superior chain-of-thought and agentic reasoning on competition-style problems, while Google’s Gemini 3.8/3.7 flash variants and Z.ai’s GLM-5.3 series cluster just behind in head-to-head votes. OpenAI’s recent Navier-Stokes formalization breakthrough has lifted its visibility but has not yet translated into sustained arena gains. Differentiators include Z.ai’s rapid open-weight iteration and cost-efficient scaling, Google’s consistent multimodal math updates, and OpenAI’s focus on frontier agent swarms versus more incremental releases from Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta. With roughly six weeks left, any new flagship launch or post-training math specialization could shift the third-place consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$40,353Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Z.ai and Google hold near-even odds around 36% each to finish third in Text Arena’s mathematical category by end of October, with OpenAI at 21%, reflecting tight lab-level competition behind Anthropic’s clear lead.** Current lmarena.ai math rankings show Anthropic’s Claude models dominating the top spots through superior chain-of-thought and agentic reasoning on competition-style problems, while Google’s Gemini 3.8/3.7 flash variants and Z.ai’s GLM-5.3 series cluster just behind in head-to-head votes. OpenAI’s recent Navier-Stokes formalization breakthrough has lifted its visibility but has not yet translated into sustained arena gains. Differentiators include Z.ai’s rapid open-weight iteration and cost-efficient scaling, Google’s consistent multimodal math updates, and OpenAI’s focus on frontier agent swarms versus more incremental releases from Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta. With roughly six weeks left, any new flagship launch or post-training math specialization could shift the third-place consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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