The market's near-certain positioning on a 92-102 million domestic 4-day opening for *The Mandalorian and Grogu* reflects pre-release tracking that consistently pegged the Jon Favreau-directed Star Wars film in the low-to-mid $80 million to low $100 million range for the Memorial Day frame. Strong family appeal tied to Grogu and the established Mandalorian fanbase drove solid presales and theater counts around 4,300 screens, aligning with historical patterns for spin-off entries while falling short of prior Disney-era franchise benchmarks like *Solo*. Mixed critical reception and lingering franchise fatigue tempered upside expectations, keeping higher brackets negligible. An upset outside this band would require either breakout word-of-mouth lifting the four-day total well above $110 million or softer-than-anticipated holiday holds pushing it below $90 million.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office du week-end d'ouverture de 4 jours « The Mandalorian and Grogu »
Box-office du week-end d'ouverture de 4 jours « The Mandalorian and Grogu »
92-102M 100.0%
<92 M <1%
102-112 millions <1%
112-122 M$ <1%
$935,411 Vol.
$935,411 Vol.
26 mai 2026
<92 M
Non
92-102M
Oui
102-112 millions
Non
112-122 M$
Non
>122 millions
Non
92-102M 100.0%
<92 M <1%
102-112 millions <1%
112-122 M$ <1%
$935,411 Vol.
$935,411 Vol.
26 mai 2026
<92 M
$284,275 Vol.
Non
92-102M
$140,238 Vol.
Oui
102-112 millions
$258,156 Vol.
Non
112-122 M$
$165,561 Vol.
Non
>122 millions
$87,181 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The market's near-certain positioning on a 92-102 million domestic 4-day opening for *The Mandalorian and Grogu* reflects pre-release tracking that consistently pegged the Jon Favreau-directed Star Wars film in the low-to-mid $80 million to low $100 million range for the Memorial Day frame. Strong family appeal tied to Grogu and the established Mandalorian fanbase drove solid presales and theater counts around 4,300 screens, aligning with historical patterns for spin-off entries while falling short of prior Disney-era franchise benchmarks like *Solo*. Mixed critical reception and lingering franchise fatigue tempered upside expectations, keeping higher brackets negligible. An upset outside this band would require either breakout word-of-mouth lifting the four-day total well above $110 million or softer-than-anticipated holiday holds pushing it below $90 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$935,411Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The market's near-certain positioning on a 92-102 million domestic 4-day opening for *The Mandalorian and Grogu* reflects pre-release tracking that consistently pegged the Jon Favreau-directed Star Wars film in the low-to-mid $80 million to low $100 million range for the Memorial Day frame. Strong family appeal tied to Grogu and the established Mandalorian fanbase drove solid presales and theater counts around 4,300 screens, aligning with historical patterns for spin-off entries while falling short of prior Disney-era franchise benchmarks like *Solo*. Mixed critical reception and lingering franchise fatigue tempered upside expectations, keeping higher brackets negligible. An upset outside this band would require either breakout word-of-mouth lifting the four-day total well above $110 million or softer-than-anticipated holiday holds pushing it below $90 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$935,411Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The market's near-certain positioning on a 92-102 million domestic 4-day opening for *The Mandalorian and Grogu* reflects pre-release tracking that consistently pegged the Jon Favreau-directed Star Wars film in the low-to-mid $80 million to low $100 million range for the Memorial Day frame. Strong family appeal tied to Grogu and the established Mandalorian fanbase drove solid presales and theater counts around 4,300 screens, aligning with historical patterns for spin-off entries while falling short of prior Disney-era franchise benchmarks like *Solo*. Mixed critical reception and lingering franchise fatigue tempered upside expectations, keeping higher brackets negligible. An upset outside this band would require either breakout word-of-mouth lifting the four-day total well above $110 million or softer-than-anticipated holiday holds pushing it below $90 million.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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