Market icon

Lancement Technologique Parlay

Market icon

Lancement Technologique Parlay

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$24,517 Vol.

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$24,517 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download
- OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser
- Apple releases a new AirTag product
- Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public
- Grokipedia is made available to the general public

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

Qualifying releases during this market's timeframe will count, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Tech.pdf
Volume
$24,517
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Oct 17, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download - OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser - Apple releases a new AirTag product - Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public - Grokipedia is made available to the general public Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. Qualifying releases during this market's timeframe will count, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Tech.pdf

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download
- OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser
- Apple releases a new AirTag product
- Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public
- Grokipedia is made available to the general public

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

Qualifying releases during this market's timeframe will count, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Tech.pdf
Volume
$24,517
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Oct 17, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download - OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser - Apple releases a new AirTag product - Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public - Grokipedia is made available to the general public Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. Qualifying releases during this market's timeframe will count, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Tech.pdf

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Lancement Technologique Parlay" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lancement technique Parlay" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Lancement Technologique Parlay" has generated $24.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Lancement Technologique Parlay," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Lancement Technologique Parlay" is "Lancement technique Parlay" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Lancement Technologique Parlay" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.