Recent Swedish polling averages place the Centre Party (C) narrowly ahead of the Green Party (MP) at roughly 7.5–8.3 percent versus 7.0–7.8 percent, supporting trader consensus that C will receive more votes on 13 September. C has posted modest gains in several late-August and early-September surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and Verian, while MP support has remained essentially flat. Both parties operate near the upper end of their historical ranges and compete for overlapping voter segments on liberal and environmental issues, yet C’s clearer positioning as a potential swing partner in post-election negotiations appears to be sustaining its edge. With the election only days away, the small but consistent polling differential and C’s incremental upward trend underpin the current 62 percent implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou à C ?
Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou à C ?
MP
47% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
MP
47% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling averages place the Centre Party (C) narrowly ahead of the Green Party (MP) at roughly 7.5–8.3 percent versus 7.0–7.8 percent, supporting trader consensus that C will receive more votes on 13 September. C has posted modest gains in several late-August and early-September surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and Verian, while MP support has remained essentially flat. Both parties operate near the upper end of their historical ranges and compete for overlapping voter segments on liberal and environmental issues, yet C’s clearer positioning as a potential swing partner in post-election negotiations appears to be sustaining its edge. With the election only days away, the small but consistent polling differential and C’s incremental upward trend underpin the current 62 percent implied probability.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET
Volume
$247Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling averages place the Centre Party (C) narrowly ahead of the Green Party (MP) at roughly 7.5–8.3 percent versus 7.0–7.8 percent, supporting trader consensus that C will receive more votes on 13 September. C has posted modest gains in several late-August and early-September surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and Verian, while MP support has remained essentially flat. Both parties operate near the upper end of their historical ranges and compete for overlapping voter segments on liberal and environmental issues, yet C’s clearer positioning as a potential swing partner in post-election negotiations appears to be sustaining its edge. With the election only days away, the small but consistent polling differential and C’s incremental upward trend underpin the current 62 percent implied probability.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$247Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish polling averages place the Centre Party (C) narrowly ahead of the Green Party (MP) at roughly 7.5–8.3 percent versus 7.0–7.8 percent, supporting trader consensus that C will receive more votes on 13 September. C has posted modest gains in several late-August and early-September surveys from Novus, Demoskop, and Verian, while MP support has remained essentially flat. Both parties operate near the upper end of their historical ranges and compete for overlapping voter segments on liberal and environmental issues, yet C’s clearer positioning as a potential swing partner in post-election negotiations appears to be sustaining its edge. With the election only days away, the small but consistent polling differential and C’s incremental upward trend underpin the current 62 percent implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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