**Centerpartiet (C) maintains a consistent polling edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, supporting the market’s 79.5% implied probability that C receives more votes.** Recent aggregates place C at roughly 7.5–7.7% and KD at 6.6–7.1%, with C ahead in nearly all individual surveys released in early September. Both parties sit within the centre-right and liberal-leaning space, yet C has held a modest lead for months amid stable voter distributions across the broader blocs. KD has seen slight upticks in isolated polls linked to leader Ebba Busch’s outreach toward centrist positions, but these have not closed the gap. With the election only days away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, current polling trends continue to underpin trader expectations for C finishing ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourC
78% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
C
78% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Centerpartiet (C) maintains a consistent polling edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, supporting the market’s 79.5% implied probability that C receives more votes.** Recent aggregates place C at roughly 7.5–7.7% and KD at 6.6–7.1%, with C ahead in nearly all individual surveys released in early September. Both parties sit within the centre-right and liberal-leaning space, yet C has held a modest lead for months amid stable voter distributions across the broader blocs. KD has seen slight upticks in isolated polls linked to leader Ebba Busch’s outreach toward centrist positions, but these have not closed the gap. With the election only days away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, current polling trends continue to underpin trader expectations for C finishing ahead.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ET
Volume
$193Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Centerpartiet (C) maintains a consistent polling edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, supporting the market’s 79.5% implied probability that C receives more votes.** Recent aggregates place C at roughly 7.5–7.7% and KD at 6.6–7.1%, with C ahead in nearly all individual surveys released in early September. Both parties sit within the centre-right and liberal-leaning space, yet C has held a modest lead for months amid stable voter distributions across the broader blocs. KD has seen slight upticks in isolated polls linked to leader Ebba Busch’s outreach toward centrist positions, but these have not closed the gap. With the election only days away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, current polling trends continue to underpin trader expectations for C finishing ahead.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$193Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Centerpartiet (C) maintains a consistent polling edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, supporting the market’s 79.5% implied probability that C receives more votes.** Recent aggregates place C at roughly 7.5–7.7% and KD at 6.6–7.1%, with C ahead in nearly all individual surveys released in early September. Both parties sit within the centre-right and liberal-leaning space, yet C has held a modest lead for months amid stable voter distributions across the broader blocs. KD has seen slight upticks in isolated polls linked to leader Ebba Busch’s outreach toward centrist positions, but these have not closed the gap. With the election only days away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, current polling trends continue to underpin trader expectations for C finishing ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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