Recent Swedish opinion polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 5–7% bracket. Aggregators show KD averaging roughly 6.8% in early September, up modestly from the 2022 result of 5.3% and sustained by gains among voters shifting from Moderaterna and Socialdemokraterna. As the smallest Tidö coalition partner, KD has benefited from consistent but limited mobilization on family and values issues without major recent catalysts or setbacks. The narrow gap between 5–7% and 7–9% reflects polling volatility in the final week before the 13 September vote, while sub-5% or double-digit outcomes remain outliers given current survey distributions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection parlementaire suédoise : KD Vote Share ?
Élection parlementaire suédoise : KD Vote Share ?
5-7 % 68%
7-9 % 26%
<5 % 8%
9%+ 1.3%
$26,181 Vol.
$26,181 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
<5 %
8%
5-7 %
68%
7-9 %
26%
9%+
1%
5-7 % 68%
7-9 % 26%
<5 % 8%
9%+ 1.3%
$26,181 Vol.
$26,181 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
<5 %
$8,341 Vol.
8%
5-7 %
$13,161 Vol.
68%
7-9 %
$3,155 Vol.
26%
9%+
$1,524 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 5–7% bracket. Aggregators show KD averaging roughly 6.8% in early September, up modestly from the 2022 result of 5.3% and sustained by gains among voters shifting from Moderaterna and Socialdemokraterna. As the smallest Tidö coalition partner, KD has benefited from consistent but limited mobilization on family and values issues without major recent catalysts or setbacks. The narrow gap between 5–7% and 7–9% reflects polling volatility in the final week before the 13 September vote, while sub-5% or double-digit outcomes remain outliers given current survey distributions.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$26,181Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 5–7% bracket. Aggregators show KD averaging roughly 6.8% in early September, up modestly from the 2022 result of 5.3% and sustained by gains among voters shifting from Moderaterna and Socialdemokraterna. As the smallest Tidö coalition partner, KD has benefited from consistent but limited mobilization on family and values issues without major recent catalysts or setbacks. The narrow gap between 5–7% and 7–9% reflects polling volatility in the final week before the 13 September vote, while sub-5% or double-digit outcomes remain outliers given current survey distributions.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$26,181Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 5–7% bracket. Aggregators show KD averaging roughly 6.8% in early September, up modestly from the 2022 result of 5.3% and sustained by gains among voters shifting from Moderaterna and Socialdemokraterna. As the smallest Tidö coalition partner, KD has benefited from consistent but limited mobilization on family and values issues without major recent catalysts or setbacks. The narrow gap between 5–7% and 7–9% reflects polling volatility in the final week before the 13 September vote, while sub-5% or double-digit outcomes remain outliers given current survey distributions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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