**Google's Gemini models have shown strong recent performance in Text Arena's mathematical category, positioning the lab as the leading contender for second place behind a dominant Anthropic entry.** As of early September 2026, arena leaderboards place multiple Gemini variants (including Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.7 Flash high-effort) near the top of math-specific Elo ratings, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable series. This reflects Google's focus on hybrid reasoning architectures and updates that boost performance on competition-style math and multi-step problems. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and prior Sol/Terra releases have driven gains in broader benchmarks but trail in the specific Text Arena math slice, while Chinese labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, and Alibaba post competitive scores on math leaderboards without matching arena momentum. Traders appear to weigh Google's consistent frontier placements and release cadence against the risk of last-minute model drops or shifts in arena voting before the October 31 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoogle 63%
Anthropic 14%
OpenAI 12%
Alibaba 4%
$37,848 Vol.
$37,848 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
63%
Anthropic
14%
OpenAI
12%
Alibaba
4%
Baidu
4%
Z.ai
3%
Meta
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meituan
1%
Moonshot
1%
ByteDance
1%
Amazon
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Google 63%
Anthropic 14%
OpenAI 12%
Alibaba 4%
$37,848 Vol.
$37,848 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
$26,151 Vol.
63%
Anthropic
$1,526 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$746 Vol.
12%
Alibaba
$1,215 Vol.
4%
Baidu
$471 Vol.
4%
Z.ai
$563 Vol.
3%
Meta
$476 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$462 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$463 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$520 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$814 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$466 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$531 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$528 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$513 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$516 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$662 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$521 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$370 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$336 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Google's Gemini models have shown strong recent performance in Text Arena's mathematical category, positioning the lab as the leading contender for second place behind a dominant Anthropic entry.**
As of early September 2026, arena leaderboards place multiple Gemini variants (including Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.7 Flash high-effort) near the top of math-specific Elo ratings, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable series. This reflects Google's focus on hybrid reasoning architectures and updates that boost performance on competition-style math and multi-step problems. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and prior Sol/Terra releases have driven gains in broader benchmarks but trail in the specific Text Arena math slice, while Chinese labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, and Alibaba post competitive scores on math leaderboards without matching arena momentum. Traders appear to weigh Google's consistent frontier placements and release cadence against the risk of last-minute model drops or shifts in arena voting before the October 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$37,848Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Google's Gemini models have shown strong recent performance in Text Arena's mathematical category, positioning the lab as the leading contender for second place behind a dominant Anthropic entry.**
As of early September 2026, arena leaderboards place multiple Gemini variants (including Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.7 Flash high-effort) near the top of math-specific Elo ratings, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable series. This reflects Google's focus on hybrid reasoning architectures and updates that boost performance on competition-style math and multi-step problems. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and prior Sol/Terra releases have driven gains in broader benchmarks but trail in the specific Text Arena math slice, while Chinese labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, and Alibaba post competitive scores on math leaderboards without matching arena momentum. Traders appear to weigh Google's consistent frontier placements and release cadence against the risk of last-minute model drops or shifts in arena voting before the October 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$37,848Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Google's Gemini models have shown strong recent performance in Text Arena's mathematical category, positioning the lab as the leading contender for second place behind a dominant Anthropic entry.** As of early September 2026, arena leaderboards place multiple Gemini variants (including Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.7 Flash high-effort) near the top of math-specific Elo ratings, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable series. This reflects Google's focus on hybrid reasoning architectures and updates that boost performance on competition-style math and multi-step problems. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and prior Sol/Terra releases have driven gains in broader benchmarks but trail in the specific Text Arena math slice, while Chinese labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, and Alibaba post competitive scores on math leaderboards without matching arena momentum. Traders appear to weigh Google's consistent frontier placements and release cadence against the risk of last-minute model drops or shifts in arena voting before the October 31 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes