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icon for Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ?

Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ?

icon for Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ?

Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ?

En hausse

>99% chance
Polymarket

$6,702 Vol.

En hausse

>99% chance
Polymarket

$6,702 Vol.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election produced official turnout of 77.82 percent, a 17.5-point increase from the 60.3 percent recorded in 2021 and the highest level for any state parliamentary contest in the state since reunification. Polarized campaigning, strong mobilization by the AfD and other parties, and elevated participation across both urban and rural districts drove the surge, with interim counts already exceeding prior benchmarks by midday. Trader consensus at 100 percent for higher turnout aligns with these confirmed figures from the state returning officer. Only an extraordinary post-election adjustment, such as a large-scale recount altering valid ballots by several points, could theoretically reverse the direction, though no procedural challenges of that magnitude have emerged.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$6,702
Date de fin
6 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election produced official turnout of 77.82 percent, a 17.5-point increase from the 60.3 percent recorded in 2021 and the highest level for any state parliamentary contest in the state since reunification. Polarized campaigning, strong mobilization by the AfD and other parties, and elevated participation across both urban and rural districts drove the surge, with interim counts already exceeding prior benchmarks by midday. Trader consensus at 100 percent for higher turnout aligns with these confirmed figures from the state returning officer. Only an extraordinary post-election adjustment, such as a large-scale recount altering valid ballots by several points, could theoretically reverse the direction, though no procedural challenges of that magnitude have emerged.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$6,702
Date de fin
6 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ? » est un marché de prédiction quotidien sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur la question de savoir si le prix de Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ? finira plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») que son prix d'ouverture sur la fenêtre quotidien spécifiée dans le titre. La probabilité actuelle du marché est de 100% pour « En hausse ». Un prix de 100% signifie que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Les prix sont mis à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux mouvements de prix en direct de Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ?. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ? » est un marché actif à court terme sur Polymarket. Le volume de trading peut s'accumuler rapidement à mesure que la fenêtre quotidien progresse — entrez tôt pour aider à définir les cotes avant la fermeture de cette fenêtre.

Pour trader sur « Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ? », décidez si vous pensez que le prix de Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ? à midi ET le September 6 sera plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») qu'à midi ET le August 6. Achetez « Up » si vous pensez que le prix va monter, ou « Down » s'il va baisser. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat est correct, chaque part rapporte $1,00. S'il est incorrect, les parts valent $0.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ? » est de 100% pour « En hausse », ce qui signifie que la communauté Polymarket attribue actuellement une probabilité de 100% que le prix de Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ? finira en hausse sur cette fenêtre quotidien. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux données de prix en direct de Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ?. Sur une journée entière, les cotes reflètent le sentiment en évolution à mesure que l'action de prix de la journée se déroule. Revenez fréquemment ou tradez maintenant avant la fermeture de la fenêtre.

Le marché « Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ? » se résout sur la base d'une comparaison du prix de Élection parlementaire en Saxe-Anhalt : participation à la hausse ou à la baisse ? à midi ET le September 6 par rapport à midi ET le August 6, en utilisant les prix de clôture des bougies 1 minute Binance SACHSEN-ANHALT-PARLIAMENTARY-ELECTION-TURNOUT/USDT. Si le prix à midi du September 6 est plus élevé, le résultat est « Up » ; s'il est plus bas, « Down » ; s'il est égal, le marché se résout 50-50. Vous pouvez consulter les critères complets dans la section « Règles ».