Ongoing military escalation and stalled diplomacy continue to shape expectations around Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Trilateral U.S.-mediated talks in Geneva in February 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but no progress on territorial control or security guarantees, with Russia maintaining demands tied to 2022 Istanbul positions. In July, Kremlin officials stated there are no immediate prospects for resuming talks despite openness to future dialogue, amid intensified Russian strikes and Ukrainian deep strikes. U.S. mediation has slowed as attention shifted toward Iran, while Europe has outlined firmer conditions for any ceasefire. Zelenskyy’s June proposal for direct leader-level meetings remains unfulfilled, and both sides continue conditioning any resumption on battlefield realities and core concessions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$308,518 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
30%
31 décembre
63%
$308,518 Vol.
30 septembre
$151,900 Vol.
30%
31 décembre
$137,906 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military escalation and stalled diplomacy continue to shape expectations around Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Trilateral U.S.-mediated talks in Geneva in February 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but no progress on territorial control or security guarantees, with Russia maintaining demands tied to 2022 Istanbul positions. In July, Kremlin officials stated there are no immediate prospects for resuming talks despite openness to future dialogue, amid intensified Russian strikes and Ukrainian deep strikes. U.S. mediation has slowed as attention shifted toward Iran, while Europe has outlined firmer conditions for any ceasefire. Zelenskyy’s June proposal for direct leader-level meetings remains unfulfilled, and both sides continue conditioning any resumption on battlefield realities and core concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$308,518Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military escalation and stalled diplomacy continue to shape expectations around Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Trilateral U.S.-mediated talks in Geneva in February 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but no progress on territorial control or security guarantees, with Russia maintaining demands tied to 2022 Istanbul positions. In July, Kremlin officials stated there are no immediate prospects for resuming talks despite openness to future dialogue, amid intensified Russian strikes and Ukrainian deep strikes. U.S. mediation has slowed as attention shifted toward Iran, while Europe has outlined firmer conditions for any ceasefire. Zelenskyy’s June proposal for direct leader-level meetings remains unfulfilled, and both sides continue conditioning any resumption on battlefield realities and core concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$308,518Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military escalation and stalled diplomacy continue to shape expectations around Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Trilateral U.S.-mediated talks in Geneva in February 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but no progress on territorial control or security guarantees, with Russia maintaining demands tied to 2022 Istanbul positions. In July, Kremlin officials stated there are no immediate prospects for resuming talks despite openness to future dialogue, amid intensified Russian strikes and Ukrainian deep strikes. U.S. mediation has slowed as attention shifted toward Iran, while Europe has outlined firmer conditions for any ceasefire. Zelenskyy’s June proposal for direct leader-level meetings remains unfulfilled, and both sides continue conditioning any resumption on battlefield realities and core concessions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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